Win probability
40%Newcastle
27%Draw
33%Everton
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals56%
Under 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score (GG)48%
Double chance 1X67%
Key factors
- ▼Starter out · NewcastleNEW
Striker William Osula twisted his ankle in the cup tie at Everton and went off at half-time; Jaissle said it was too early to judge. Doubtful, so half weight.
- ▼Jarrad Branthwaite doubtfulEVE
Branthwaite came off with cramp after 82 minutes at Newcastle; Moyes is hopeful he can face Coventry but the club is managing him carefully.
- ▲Fernandez-Pardo is back training with the squad after a heavy virus kept him out for over two weeks; Jaissle will judge his fitness before deciding on Fulham.NEW
Fernandez-Pardo is back training with the squad after a heavy virus kept him out for over two weeks; Jaissle will judge his fitness before deciding on Fulham.
- ▼Jacob Ramsey suspendedNEW
Ramsey serves a one-match ban at Fulham after his red card against Everton.
- ▼Joelinton outNEW
Joelinton went off injured again and is out for Fulham; Jaissle said a treatment plan is still being settled, so the length of the absence is unknown.
- ▼Fernandez-Pardo doubtfulNEW
Fernandez-Pardo was described as absent of late before the Everton match; no reason given.
- ▼William Osula outNEW
Osula has an ankle injury and was highly unlikely for the Everton match.
Preview
Four days after knocking Newcastle out of the Carabao Cup, Everton visit St James' Park in the league. Goals from Garner, Hackney and Barry gave Moyes's side a 3-1 win on Thursday, with Dan Burn heading a late consolation against a near full-strength Newcastle team. Jaissle's side had beaten Crystal Palace 2-0 the previous weekend. The cup tie cost them William Osula, who twisted his ankle and went off at half-time, so Wissa may lead the line. Everton expect Jarrad Branthwaite back after two games under concussion protocols. Jack Grealish was left out of the cup squad for a breach of club discipline, and Moyes would not say whether he returns on Monday. In the league, Newcastle sit eighth on 11 points and Everton eleventh on 10. Neither side has a midweek game before the weekend. Four of the last five meetings, a pre-season friendly included, produced three goals or more. The Met Office expects a dry, mild evening. The market rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and nothing we found changes that; it is our pick at 1.77.
These sides have traded goals in recent meetings, and the market leans the same way. We take over 2.5 goals at 1.77, rated at 56%.
Head to head
- 2026-10-29Everton 3–1 NewcastleLeague Cup
- 2026-08-12Newcastle 1–3 EvertonFriendlies Clubs
- 2026-02-28Newcastle 2–3 EvertonPremier League
- 2025-11-29Everton 1–4 NewcastlePremier League
- 2025-05-25Newcastle 0–1 EvertonPremier League
FAQ
Who is missing for Newcastle against Everton?
William Osula is a doubt after twisting his ankle in the cup tie on 29 October.
Will Grealish and Branthwaite play for Everton?
Branthwaite is expected to be available after concussion protocols. Grealish was dropped from the cup squad for a breach of club discipline, and his place on Monday is unconfirmed.
What is the pick for Newcastle vs Everton?
Over 2.5 goals at 1.77. We rate it at 56%, in line with the market.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.77, rated 56% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 56% for this match.
When does Newcastle vs Everton kick off?
Mon 02 Nov, 20:00 UTC.