Brighton

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Fixture congestion · Brighton

  Brighton played a Conference League away game at Getafe on Thursday night and are back in action on Sunday, so the Thursday European away rule applies.

  BRI
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  Starter out · Brighton

  Half weight as a doubt: Ferdi Kadioglu missed the Getafe trip and Hurzeler has only a big hope that he might be ready for Sunday.

  BRI
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  Yarmoliuk has served his three-match ban, scored for Brentford B this week and is available for Brighton.

  Yarmoliuk has served his three-match ban, scored for Brentford B this week and is available for Brighton.

  BRE
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  Fabio Carvalho out

  Keith Andrews said Carvalho picked up a knock about two weeks ago and will be out until after the November international break.

  BRE
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  Chema missed the midweek cup tie with a hip knock from Anfield but is expected to be available for the Premier League trip to Man City.

  Chema missed the midweek cup tie with a hip knock from Anfield but is expected to be available for the Premier League trip to Man City.

  BRI
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  Kadioglu missed the cup tie with a hip knock but Hurzeler is 'quite convinced' he will be an option at Man City on Saturday.

  Kadioglu missed the cup tie with a hip knock but Hurzeler is 'quite convinced' he will be an option at Man City on Saturday.

  BRI
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  Hurzeler confirmed Minteh is back in contention for the cup tie at Man City; he has not played this season after a knee problem in pre-season.

  Hurzeler confirmed Minteh is back in contention for the cup tie at Man City; he has not played this season after a knee problem in pre-season.

  BRI
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  Milambo trained with the group on Saturday and Tuesday and is close to a return from his knock.

  Milambo trained with the group on Saturday and Tuesday and is close to a return from his knock.

  BRE

Preview

Brighton have scored 24 league goals in nine games, the most in the division. They score 3.25 a game at home and concede only 0.25, and they sit third on 19 points after a 1-0 win at Manchester City. The catch is the calendar. They won 1-0 at Getafe on Thursday night, with five changes, and are straight back out on Sunday. Ferdi Kadioglu and Pascal Struijk missed that trip, and Struijk is being assessed day by day. Brentford are sixth on 14 points, have lost one of their last 11 league games and beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 last time out. Yehor Yarmoliuk is back from his ban and Keith Andrews reports no new injuries, though Rico Henry and Fábio Carvalho stay out. Brentford score and concede 1.5 a game away. The last five meetings offer no pattern: only two went over 2.5. Forecasts show a dry afternoon. We rate Brighton at 46.9%, short of a pick, so our main pick is over 2.5 goals at 59.7%.

Head to head

• 2026-02-21Brentford 0–2 BrightonPremier League
• 2025-11-22Brighton 2–1 BrentfordPremier League
• 2025-04-19Brentford 4–2 BrightonPremier League
• 2024-12-27Brighton 0–0 BrentfordPremier League
• 2024-04-03Brentford 0–0 BrightonPremier League