Win probability
26%Ipswich
27%Draw
47%Bournemouth
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals58%
Under 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score (GG)66%
Double chance X274%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · BournemouthBOU
Bournemouth come straight from a Thursday Europa League away game at Sparta Prague to a Sunday trip to Ipswich, though Rose made eight changes in Prague.
- ●Open game expected · Both teamsBoth
Four of the last five meetings had three or more goals (3, 3, 2, 4, 4), counted from our fixture data, and Ipswich have not kept a clean sheet this season.
- ▼Alex Scott doubtfulBOU
Tuchel said Scott is not ready and left him out of the England squad after his muscle injury.
- ▼Rose made eight changes for the 3-1 win at Sparta Prague; Adams, Evanilson, Rayan, Tavernier and Truffert all came off the bench ahead of the trip to Ipswich.BOU
Rose made eight changes for the 3-1 win at Sparta Prague; Adams, Evanilson, Rayan, Tavernier and Truffert all came off the bench ahead of the trip to Ipswich.
- ▼Sasa Lukic doubtfulIPS
Gary O'Neil wants Lukic in the starting XI but will decide on his fitness on matchday morning; Florentino Luis and Exequiel Palacios would continue in midfield if he misses out.
- ▼Philogene underwhelmed on the left wing last weekend and could be replaced by Daizen Maeda or Jack Clarke at Hull.IPS
Philogene underwhelmed on the left wing last weekend and could be replaced by Daizen Maeda or Jack Clarke at Hull.
- ▼Rose said Kroupi, back from a foot injury that cost him three months, is not ready to start yet and needs his game time built up gradually.BOU
Rose said Kroupi, back from a foot injury that cost him three months, is not ready to start yet and needs his game time built up gradually.
- ▼Julian Araujo outBOU
Defender listed out with a thigh problem; Veljko Milosavljevic was a doubt with a knock.
Preview
Goals look the best angle at Portman Road. Ipswich have not kept a clean sheet this season, and four of the last five meetings had at least three goals, so we rate over 2.5 at 58%. Bournemouth arrive on seven straight wins in all competitions, including three league wins without conceding. Their defence did finally give one up on Thursday, when Sparta Prague scored first and ended a run of six games without conceding. All three goals in the 3-1 win came from substitutes. Rose made eight changes, so his main men should be fresher than the Thursday trip suggests. Alex Scott has been out with a thigh injury and may return. Ipswich have drawn their last two league games, and O'Neil expected to have Lukic back after a groin problem. Bournemouth also won none of their six league games against promoted sides last season, and this is their first such test this term. That is why we stop at 47% for the away win, even at a price of 2.00.
Ipswich keep conceding and this fixture tends to produce goals. We rate over 2.5 at 58%, ahead of a Bournemouth win at 47%.
Head to head
- 2025-04-02Bournemouth 1–2 IpswichPremier League
- 2024-12-08Ipswich 1–2 BournemouthPremier League
- 2015-04-03Ipswich 1–1 BournemouthChampionship
- 2014-11-22Bournemouth 2–2 IpswichChampionship
- 2014-04-21Ipswich 2–2 BournemouthChampionship
FAQ
Why not back Bournemouth after seven straight wins?
We rate the away win at 47%, below our 55% minimum, and they have just come back from a Thursday game in Prague.
Is Alex Scott back for Bournemouth?
Not confirmed. He has been out with a thigh injury and was held back from the Prague trip with a possible return at Ipswich in mind.
What is the best bet for Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.76, rated 58% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 58% for this match.
When does Ipswich vs Bournemouth kick off?
Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC.