Win probability
76%Manchester City
15%Draw
9%Ipswich
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Under 2.5 goals30%
Both teams score (GG)74%
Double chance 1X91%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · Manchester CityMCI
City play their third match in seven days: they won 3-0 at Liverpool on Sunday and lost 4-2 at home to PSG on Wednesday night before hosting Ipswich on Saturday.
- ▼After Donnarumma's near-post error in the 3-2 win at Leipzig, Maresca backed him fully, called his form no concern and said he is not thinking of changing his goalkeeper.MCI
After Donnarumma's near-post error in the 3-2 win at Leipzig, Maresca backed him fully, called his form no concern and said he is not thinking of changing his goalkeeper.
- ▼Semenyo outMCI
Semenyo listed as out (knee) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
- ▼Maresca made nine changes for the Carabao Cup win on penalties over Brighton. He rested Haaland, Donnarumma, Dias, Anderson and Gvardiol by choice, not because of injury.MCI
Maresca made nine changes for the Carabao Cup win on penalties over Brighton. He rested Haaland, Donnarumma, Dias, Anderson and Gvardiol by choice, not because of injury.
- ▼City lost 1-0 at home to Brighton on 31 Oct, their first back-to-back Premier League defeats under Maresca. He blamed silly goals conceded and a lack of finishing.MCI
City lost 1-0 at home to Brighton on 31 Oct, their first back-to-back Premier League defeats under Maresca. He blamed silly goals conceded and a lack of finishing.
- ▼Philogene underwhelmed on the left wing last weekend and could be replaced by Daizen Maeda or Jack Clarke at Hull.IPS
Philogene underwhelmed on the left wing last weekend and could be replaced by Daizen Maeda or Jack Clarke at Hull.
- ▼Sasa Lukic doubtfulIPS
Gary O'Neil wants Lukic in the starting XI but will decide on his fitness on matchday morning; Florentino Luis and Exequiel Palacios would continue in midfield if he misses out.
Preview
Manchester City lead the Premier League with six wins from six, and Sunday's 3-0 win at Liverpool showed their edge. Midweek was different. PSG went 3-0 up at the Etihad inside 32 minutes and won 4-2, with Erling Haaland scoring both City goals after the break. That makes Saturday City's third game in seven days, so some tired legs are likely. Ipswich come in tenth on nine points. They won 2-1 against Fulham last Saturday with two late goals, with winger Abdul Fatawu missing that game through suspension. Gary O'Neil's side score away from home, 1.67 goals a game, but they also concede 2.67 a game on the road. City average 2.67 goals a game both home and away. The two Premier League meetings in 2024-25 finished 4-1 and 6-0 to City. City are clear favourites, but at short odds the result is poor value. Goals are the better angle. We rate a City win at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
City score freely and Ipswich concede heavily on the road, so we expect goals. Our surest pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.36, rated at 70%.
Head to head
- 2025-01-19Ipswich 0–6 Manchester CityPremier League
- 2024-08-24Manchester City 4–1 IpswichPremier League
FAQ
Who is favourite to win Man City vs Ipswich?
City are strong favourites. We rate a City win at 76%, the draw at 15% and an Ipswich win at 9%.
Is Haaland playing for Man City against Ipswich?
Haaland scored twice against PSG on Wednesday. No new injury was reported for him after that game.
What is the best bet for Man City vs Ipswich?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36, which we rate at 70%. No bet is ever sure, so stake responsibly.
What is the best bet for Manchester City vs Ipswich?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36, rated 70% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 70% for this match.
When does Manchester City vs Ipswich kick off?
Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 UTC.