Win probability
33%Liverpool
29%Draw
38%Arsenal
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score (GG)37%
Double chance X267%
Key factors
- ▼Starter out · LiverpoolLIV
Szoboszlai is a doubt: he had missed Liverpool's last two games and Iraola said he was not sure about his return. Doubtful, so half weight.
- ▼Starter out · ArsenalARS
Saka hurt his quad at Bayern and missed the Everton game; Arteta called the signs not good, and our injury feed lists him out for Anfield.
- ▼Starter out · ArsenalARS
Rice was taken off at Fleetwood because he had felt a problem a few days earlier, per Arteta. Doubtful, so half weight.
- ▼Odegaard, Havertz, Tzolis, Calafiori, Timber and Bruno Guimaraes could come back into the side after being rotated in midweek.ARS
Odegaard, Havertz, Tzolis, Calafiori, Timber and Bruno Guimaraes could come back into the side after being rotated in midweek.
- ▼Ryan Gravenberch doubtfulLIV
Gravenberch has a heel fracture he has played through; he missed Fenerbahce, has not improved since Arsenal, and Iraola called his Palace chances a day-to-day call.
- ▼Victor Munoz outLIV
Listed out with a knock in the 1 Nov Arsenal preview.
- ▼Eze doubtfulARS
Eze listed as doubtful (reason not given) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
- ▼Saka outARS
Saka listed as out (quadriceps) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
Preview
Fourth-placed Liverpool host second-placed Arsenal at Anfield. Arsenal arrive with 21 points from 8 games (7 wins, 1 defeat); Liverpool have 15 (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat). Iraola's side beat Brighton 2-0 last weekend and edged Chelsea on penalties in the Carabao Cup, but they have been modest at home in the league: 1.0 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Arsenal concede only 0.75 per away game, though they score just 1.0. Both sides carry knocks. Szoboszlai has been out and remains a doubt. Arsenal are without Saka, who hurt his quad at Bayern, while Rice came off at Fleetwood with a problem and Madueke missed that cup tie with an ankle issue. Arsenal have not beaten Liverpool in the last five meetings in our data: the last four league games went 0-0, 1-0 to Liverpool, 2-2 and 2-2. The market makes Arsenal favourites at about 40%; after the absences we rate them at 38%, Liverpool 33% and the draw 29%. Nothing clears our 55% bar, so this is a preview without a pick.
A genuinely open title clash with injuries on both sides. Arsenal are slight favourites at 38%, but no outcome is likely enough for a pick.
Head to head
- 2026-01-08Arsenal 0–0 LiverpoolPremier League
- 2025-08-31Liverpool 1–0 ArsenalPremier League
- 2025-05-11Liverpool 2–2 ArsenalPremier League
- 2024-10-27Arsenal 2–2 LiverpoolPremier League
- 2024-07-31Liverpool 2–1 ArsenalFriendlies Clubs
FAQ
Who is favourite for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Arsenal, narrowly. We rate an Arsenal win at 38%, a Liverpool win at 33% and the draw at 29%.
Is Bukayo Saka playing at Anfield?
He is listed injured after hurting his quad against Bayern Munich and missed the Everton game.
How have recent Liverpool vs Arsenal games gone?
Arsenal have not won any of the last five meetings in our data. The last four league games ended 0-0, 1-0 to Liverpool, 2-2 and 2-2.
What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.97, rated 51% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 51% for this match.
When does Liverpool vs Arsenal kick off?
Sun 01 Nov, 16:30 UTC.