Win probability
46%Fulham
26%Draw
28%Newcastle
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals57%
Under 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score (GG)70%
Double chance 1X72%
Key factors
- ▲Fernandez-Pardo is back training with the squad after a heavy virus kept him out for over two weeks; Jaissle will judge his fitness before deciding on Fulham.NEW
Fernandez-Pardo is back training with the squad after a heavy virus kept him out for over two weeks; Jaissle will judge his fitness before deciding on Fulham.
- ▼Joelinton outNEW
Joelinton went off injured again and is out for Fulham; Jaissle said a treatment plan is still being settled, so the length of the absence is unknown.
- ▼Jacob Ramsey suspendedNEW
Ramsey serves a one-match ban at Fulham after his red card against Everton.
- ▼Fernandez-Pardo doubtfulNEW
Fernandez-Pardo was described as absent of late before the Everton match; no reason given.
- ▼William Osula outNEW
Osula has an ankle injury and was highly unlikely for the Everton match.
- ▼Arbeloa addressed why Emile Smith Rowe has missed Fulham's last three matchday squads, and also Antonee Robinson's dip in form, before the Aston Villa trip (ended 1-1).FUL
Arbeloa addressed why Emile Smith Rowe has missed Fulham's last three matchday squads, and also Antonee Robinson's dip in form, before the Aston Villa trip (ended 1-1).
Preview
Fulham and Newcastle both play open games. Newcastle concede 2.0 a game away and score 1.5, while Fulham score 1.5 and concede 1.75 at Craven Cottage. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, and both teams scored in the same four. Newcastle are the side under pressure. They lost 1-0 at home to Everton on Monday, have lost four of their last five in all competitions, and AFP reports Jaissle is under fire. Jacob Ramsey was sent off in stoppage time of that game, and Joelinton is reported as questionable with a muscle problem. They also have two days fewer rest than Fulham. Fulham have taken seven points from their last three league games and drew 1-1 at Aston Villa last time. Fulham are favourites at 46%, which is the most likely result but under our 55% line. The goals market clears it: we rate over 2.5 at 57.2%. Both sides conceding freely is the case for this pick.
Neither defence has been reliable and this fixture has been open. We rate over 2.5 goals at 57.2%.
Head to head
- 2026-05-24Fulham 2–0 NewcastlePremier League
- 2025-12-17Newcastle 2–1 FulhamLeague Cup
- 2025-10-25Newcastle 2–1 FulhamPremier League
- 2025-02-01Newcastle 1–2 FulhamPremier League
- 2024-09-21Fulham 3–1 NewcastlePremier League
FAQ
What is the pick for Fulham v Newcastle?
Over 2.5 goals at 57.2%.
What is the recent head-to-head?
Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, and both teams scored in those four.
What is the best bet for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.71, rated 57% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 57% for this match.
When does Fulham vs Newcastle kick off?
Sat 07 Nov, 15:00 UTC.