Win probability
54%Everton
26%Draw
20%Coventry
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals57%
Under 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score (GG)38%
Double chance 1X80%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · EvertonEVE
Third match in eight days: the cup tie with Newcastle on 29 Oct, Newcastle away on 2 Nov, then Coventry on 6 Nov.
- ▼Starter out · EvertonEVE
Grealish missed the Newcastle trip and Moyes did not know if he will be available on Friday, so half weight.
- ▼Key player out · CoventryCOV
Centre-back Bobby Thomas (calf) missed the Sunderland game and faces a late fitness check, so half weight as a doubt.
- ●Key defender out · CoventryCOV
Coventry centre-back Bobby Thomas (calf) faces a late fitness check after missing the Sunderland game, so half weight.
- ▼Frank Onyeka doubtfulCOV
Onyeka faces a late fitness test before the Friday game at Everton.
- ▼Jarrad Branthwaite doubtfulEVE
Branthwaite came off with cramp after 82 minutes at Newcastle; Moyes is hopeful he can face Coventry but the club is managing him carefully.
- ▼Player outCOV
Josh Eccles and Luke Woolfenden are both expected to stay sidelined for the Everton game.
- ▼Bobby Thomas outCOV
Centre-back Bobby Thomas missed the 3-1 win over Sunderland through injury, picked up against Fulham; Stephen Mfuni deputised. Coventry climbed out of the relegation zone.
Preview
Everton come in on a high after beating Newcastle twice in four days, 3-1 in the cup and 1-0 away on Monday. Coventry beat Sunderland 3-1 last time and sit 16th. Everton are seventh on 13 points and deserve to be favourites, but this is their third game in eight days, and Coventry have had six days to prepare. Jack Grealish was left out at Newcastle, and David Moyes did not know if he would be available for Friday. Coventry will make a late check on Bobby Thomas (calf) and Frank Onyeka (groin), who both missed the Sunderland game. Stephen Mfuni stood in for Thomas that day. Our home win number drops below the market to 54%, which isn't enough for a pick. Goals are the better angle. Coventry's games average 2.8 goals, though Everton's average just 2.0, so this isn't one-way. The market has over 2.5 at 55%, and the doubt over Thomas lifts it to 57% for us.
Everton are favourites at 54%, but three games in eight days takes the edge off. The doubt over Bobby Thomas makes over 2.5 goals our surest angle at 57%.
Head to head
- 2024-07-30Coventry 3–0 EvertonFriendlies Clubs
FAQ
Will Jack Grealish play for Everton against Coventry?
It is unclear. He was left out at Newcastle and Moyes did not know if he would be available for Friday.
Is Bobby Thomas fit for Coventry?
He faces a late fitness check on a calf problem after missing the Sunderland game.
Why not back Everton to win?
We rate the win at 54% after a third game in eight days, below our 55% line for a pick.
What is the best bet for Everton vs Coventry?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, rated 57% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 57% for this match.
When does Everton vs Coventry kick off?
Fri 06 Nov, 20:00 UTC.