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Premier League · England
Everton crest

Everton

WWLLD
Full time0–2
Chelsea crest

Chelsea

WLWWL
Sure pickOver 2.5 goals
Odds1.74How over/under goals works →

Win probability

31%Everton
27%Draw
42%Chelsea

Markets

Over 2.5 goals59%
Under 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score (GG)54%
Double chance X269%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Key player out · Chelsea

    Captain Reece James missed the 5-1 win over Bournemouth with a knee problem and Alonso is assessing him week by week, so he is a doubt; half weight as doubtful.

    CHE
  • ●
    Key defender out · Chelsea

    Chelsea captain and defender Reece James is a doubt with a knee problem after missing the Bournemouth game; half weight as doubtful.

    CHE
  • ▼
    Jarrad Branthwaite doubtful

    Branthwaite came off with cramp after 82 minutes at Newcastle; Moyes is hopeful he can face Coventry but the club is managing him carefully.

    EVE
  • ▲
    Branthwaite is expected to be available for Monday's league game against Newcastle after missing two matches under concussion protocols.

    Branthwaite is expected to be available for Monday's league game against Newcastle after missing two matches under concussion protocols.

    EVE
  • ▼
    Moyes said he believed no new injury concerns came out of the 3-1 cup win over Newcastle, though the full picture would only be clear the next day.

    Moyes said he believed no new injury concerns came out of the 3-1 cup win over Newcastle, though the full picture would only be clear the next day.

    EVE
  • ▼
    Moises Caicedo doubtful

    Caicedo came off after 68 minutes of the Carabao Cup loss at Liverpool; Alonso called it minor physical problems and hopes he is not ruled out.

    CHE
  • ▼
    Pep Chavarria doubtful

    Chavarria has been upgraded to a doubt (knock) for the Manchester United game rather than ruled out.

    CHE
  • ▼
    Emanuel Emegha doubtful

    Emegha is listed as a doubt with a hamstring problem for Saturday's home game against Manchester United.

    CHE

Preview

Everton and Chelsea both sit on 10 points after six games, so this is a real test for both. Everton are still unbeaten, but they let a lead slip in a 2-2 draw at Hull last weekend, with Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry scoring. Left-back Vitalii Mykolenko was not in the squad at Hull. Chelsea arrive full of confidence after a 5-1 win over Bournemouth, where Jordan Henderson scored twice and Joao Pedro also got two. Cole Palmer set up the opener. The worry for Xabi Alonso is captain Reece James, who missed that game with a knee problem and is being assessed week by week. Jamie Gittens is out for a few weeks with an ankle injury. Chelsea's away games have been open: they score 1.33 and concede 2.33 per game on the road. Everton average 1.67 goals at home. The market makes Chelsea favourites, but our angle is goals. We rate over 2.5 goals at 59%.

Our verdict

Chelsea's leaky away record and a doubt over Reece James point to an open game. Our surest pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.74, rated at 59%.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-21Everton 3–0 ChelseaPremier League
  • 2025-12-13Chelsea 2–0 EvertonPremier League
  • 2025-04-26Chelsea 1–0 EvertonPremier League
  • 2024-12-22Everton 0–0 ChelseaPremier League
  • 2024-04-15Chelsea 6–0 EvertonPremier League

FAQ

Who is missing for Everton vs Chelsea?

Chelsea's Jamie Gittens is out for a few weeks and captain Reece James is a doubt with a knee problem. Everton's Vitalii Mykolenko missed the draw at Hull.

Who is favourite to win Everton vs Chelsea?

Chelsea are favourites. We rate an away win at 42%, the draw at 27% and an Everton win at 31%.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Chelsea?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.74, which we rate at 59%. No bet is ever sure, so stake responsibly.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Chelsea?

Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.74, rated 59% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 59% for this match.

When does Everton vs Chelsea kick off?

Sat 17 Oct, 11:30 UTC.