Win probability
45%Brentford
29%Draw
26%Liverpool
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Under 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score (GG)44%
Double chance 1X74%
Key factors
- ▼Starter out · LiverpoolLIV
Midfielder Ryan Gravenberch is suspended after his red card against Manchester City.
- ▼Key player out · LiverpoolLIV
Striker Alexander Isak is a doubt: he missed the LASK trip and Iraola could not say if he will be fit for Brentford. Half weight as a doubt.
- ▼Fixture congestion · LiverpoolLIV
Third match in seven days for Liverpool: Man City on Sunday, away at LASK on Wednesday night, then Brentford in less than three days, as Iraola noted after the LASK game.
- ●Key attacker out · LiverpoolLIV
Liverpool's forwards Isak and Gakpo are both doubts with no return date; half weight as doubts.
- ▼Ryan Gravenberch doubtfulLIV
Gravenberch has a heel fracture he has played through; he missed Fenerbahce, has not improved since Arsenal, and Iraola called his Palace chances a day-to-day call.
- ▲Yarmoliuk has served his three-match ban, scored for Brentford B this week and is available for Brighton.BRE
Yarmoliuk has served his three-match ban, scored for Brentford B this week and is available for Brighton.
- ▼Victor Munoz outLIV
Listed out with a knock in the 1 Nov Arsenal preview.
- ▼Bradley outLIV
Bradley listed as out (knee) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
Preview
Brentford are unbeaten after six league games and fourth in the table, with a stingy home defence. Their latest result was a 2-2 draw at Aston Villa, but it cost them: Kevin Schade went off with a shoulder injury and Jannik Schuster came off at half-time with an ankle problem. Keith Andrews was unsure how serious Schade's injury is. Liverpool's week has been busy. They lost 3-0 at home to Manchester City on Sunday, won 6-3 at LASK on Wednesday night, and now play again on Saturday. Ryan Gravenberch is suspended after his red card against City. Alexander Isak, Cody Gakpo and Dominik Szoboszlai all missed the LASK trip, and Andoni Iraola could not say whether any of them will be ready for Brentford. Hugo Ekitike and Conor Bradley are still out. With Liverpool short of forwards and tired legs, we move the 1X2 toward the hosts: Brentford 45%, draw 29%, Liverpool 26%. We also trim the goals outlook. Under 3.5 goals is our strongest number at 62%.
A tired Liverpool missing Isak, Gakpo and Gravenberch meet a Brentford side that concedes little at home. Our surest pick is under 3.5 goals at 1.64, rated at 62%.
Head to head
- 2026-05-24Liverpool 1–1 BrentfordPremier League
- 2025-10-25Brentford 3–2 LiverpoolPremier League
- 2025-01-18Brentford 0–2 LiverpoolPremier League
- 2024-08-25Liverpool 2–0 BrentfordPremier League
- 2024-02-17Brentford 1–4 LiverpoolPremier League
FAQ
Who is missing for Liverpool at Brentford?
Gravenberch is suspended. Isak, Gakpo and Szoboszlai are doubts, and Ekitike and Bradley are out.
Who is favourite in Brentford vs Liverpool?
Brentford are slight favourites at home. We rate a Brentford win at 45%, the draw at 29% and a Liverpool win at 26%.
What is the best bet for Brentford vs Liverpool?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at 1.64, rated at 62%. No bet is ever sure, so stake responsibly.
What is the best bet for Brentford vs Liverpool?
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.64, rated 62% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 59% for this match.
When does Brentford vs Liverpool kick off?
Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 UTC.