Win probability
46%Bournemouth
27%Draw
27%Leeds
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score (GG)34%
Double chance 1X73%
Key factors
- ▲Form & head-to-head · BournemouthBOU
Bournemouth beat Aston Villa 3-0 in the Carabao Cup with eight changes, their fifth straight win in all competitions, after a 3-0 win at Old Trafford.
- ▼Alex Scott doubtfulBOU
Tuchel said Scott is not ready and left him out of the England squad after his muscle injury.
- ▼Noah Okafor doubtfulLEE
Okafor missed the last game with adductor problems and has only worked individually this week, so he is uncertain for Tottenham.
- ▼Dominic Calvert-Lewin outLEE
Calvert-Lewin had a minor foot setback and missed training on Farke's press-conference day; Farke is cautiously hopeful he trains the next day, which would make him available for Spurs.
- ▼Anton Stach outLEE
Stach has a broken finger and a broken little toe and has needed injections to play; he is limited to individual rehab, and Farke says he is not ready to start, at best a bench option.
- ▲Rodon is back in full team training after his long absence and is in contention for the matchday squad against Tottenham.LEE
Rodon is back in full team training after his long absence and is in contention for the matchday squad against Tottenham.
- ▼Rose made eight changes for the 3-1 win at Sparta Prague; Adams, Evanilson, Rayan, Tavernier and Truffert all came off the bench ahead of the trip to Ipswich.BOU
Rose made eight changes for the 3-1 win at Sparta Prague; Adams, Evanilson, Rayan, Tavernier and Truffert all came off the bench ahead of the trip to Ipswich.
Preview
Bournemouth are flying. Wednesday's 3-0 Carabao Cup win over Aston Villa was their fifth straight victory in all competitions, and Marco Rose made eight changes to get it, so his first-choice side should be fresh for Leeds. They also won 3-0 at Old Trafford on Sunday. Their league table still lags behind (13th, nine points) and Alex Scott remains sidelined. Leeds sit seventh on 11 points with only one defeat in eight, but five draws tell the story: they are hard to beat and hard to score against, conceding 0.75 goals per away game while scoring the same. Their last outing was a 0-0 at Sunderland. Nico Elvedi missed that one through illness, and Joe Rodon has been working back from a long injury. The last two meetings both finished 2-2. We make Bournemouth slight favourites at 46%, which is not enough for a pick. The goals market sits close to a coin flip at 51% for over 2.5, so we pass on this one.
Bournemouth are in form, but Leeds rarely lose and the home win sits at only 46% on our numbers. No pick here.
Head to head
- 2026-04-22Bournemouth 2–2 LeedsPremier League
- 2025-09-27Leeds 2–2 BournemouthPremier League
- 2023-04-30Bournemouth 4–1 LeedsPremier League
- 2022-11-05Leeds 4–3 BournemouthPremier League
- 2015-01-20Leeds 1–0 BournemouthChampionship
FAQ
Why is there no pick for Bournemouth vs Leeds?
No market reaches our 55% bar. We rate the home win at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
How did the last meetings end?
Both of the last two meetings finished 2-2, in April 2026 at Bournemouth and in September 2025 at Leeds.
What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Leeds?
The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.94, rated 50% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 51% for this match.
When does Bournemouth vs Leeds kick off?
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC.