Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Sure Tips & Odds

Win probability

19%Aston Villa

21%Draw

59%Manchester City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Under 2.5 goals34%

Double chance X280%

Key factors

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After Donnarumma's near-post error in the 3-2 win at Leipzig, Maresca backed him fully, called his form no concern and said he is not thinking of changing his goalkeeper.
After Donnarumma's near-post error in the 3-2 win at Leipzig, Maresca backed him fully, called his form no concern and said he is not thinking of changing his goalkeeper.
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Semenyo out
Semenyo listed as out (knee) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
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Maresca made nine changes for the Carabao Cup win on penalties over Brighton. He rested Haaland, Donnarumma, Dias, Anderson and Gvardiol by choice, not because of injury.
Maresca made nine changes for the Carabao Cup win on penalties over Brighton. He rested Haaland, Donnarumma, Dias, Anderson and Gvardiol by choice, not because of injury.
MCI
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City lost 1-0 at home to Brighton on 31 Oct, their first back-to-back Premier League defeats under Maresca. He blamed silly goals conceded and a lack of finishing.
City lost 1-0 at home to Brighton on 31 Oct, their first back-to-back Premier League defeats under Maresca. He blamed silly goals conceded and a lack of finishing.
MCI
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Guehi was withdrawn at half-time last weekend and could drop to the bench, with Khusanov expected at centre-back; Matheus Nunes should return after missing two games.
Guehi was withdrawn at half-time last weekend and could drop to the bench, with Khusanov expected at centre-back; Matheus Nunes should return after missing two games.
MCI
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Kovacic was fit to start the Carabao Cup win over Brighton, one of nine changes Maresca made.
Kovacic was fit to start the Carabao Cup win over Brighton, one of nine changes Maresca made.
MCI

Head to head

2026-05-24Manchester City 1–2 Aston VillaPremier League
2025-10-26Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester CityPremier League
2025-04-22Manchester City 2–1 Aston VillaPremier League
2024-12-21Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester CityPremier League
2024-04-03Manchester City 4–1 Aston VillaPremier League

FAQ

What is the best bet for Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.45, rated 66% by the market. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 66% for this match.

When does Aston Villa vs Manchester City kick off?

Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 UTC.