Win probability
79%Arsenal
15%Draw
7%Hull City
Premier League · England
Markets
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Under 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score (GG)40%
Double chance 1X94%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · ArsenalARS
Arsenal play three days after a 2-1 win at Slavia Prague, with Arteta noting a third away game in quick succession.
- ▼Key player out · ArsenalARS
Half weight: Saka was hurt against Bayern on 21 October, 15 days ago, and is still not expected for Hull.
- ●Key attacker out · ArsenalARS
Half weight for Saka, out since 21 October and not expected for Hull.
- ▼Darko Gyabi outHUL
Gyabi is out until after the break and has yet to play this season.
- ▼Charlie Hughes outHUL
Hughes is out until after the break and has yet to play this season.
- ▼Lucas Gourna-Douath outHUL
Gourna-Douath has calf damage and is back after the international break.
- ▼Matt Crooks suspendedHUL
Crooks is suspended for the Arsenal game after five cautions.
- ▼Odegaard, Havertz, Tzolis, Calafiori, Timber and Bruno Guimaraes could come back into the side after being rotated in midweek.ARS
Odegaard, Havertz, Tzolis, Calafiori, Timber and Bruno Guimaraes could come back into the side after being rotated in midweek.
Preview
Arsenal top the table on 24 points and concede just 0.5 a game at home, so Hull should find this hard. But the likely Arsenal win is priced too short to back at 1.19, and over 2.5 at 1.50 slips under our edge limit with Saka missing. That leaves under 3.5. Arsenal have only three days to recover from a 2-1 win in Prague, where Arteta was unhappy with a sloppy second half. Rice played 90 minutes, and Konsa came off with what Arteta called some issues. Saliba is back in the squad, though, and Odegaard was on the bench by choice. Hull are 11th with five draws in nine games, conceding 1.25 a game away, and Crooks is suspended. A controlled home win suits this line, as Arsenal have scored 2.25 a game at home. One caution: three of the last five meetings topped 3.5, though the latest of those was in 2016. We rate under 3.5 at 58%.
A controlled Arsenal win looks most likely, so we rate under 3.5 goals at 58%.
Head to head
- 2017-02-11Arsenal 2–0 Hull CityPremier League
- 2016-09-17Hull City 1–4 ArsenalPremier League
- 2016-03-08Hull City 0–4 ArsenalFA Cup
- 2016-02-20Arsenal 0–0 Hull CityFA Cup
- 2015-05-04Hull City 1–3 ArsenalPremier League
FAQ
Why not back Arsenal to win?
We rate it near 79%, but 1.19 is below our minimum price of 1.30.
Is Saka playing against Hull?
He is not expected to, and needs a further scan before Arsenal can set a timeline.
What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Hull City?
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.72, rated 58% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 63% for this match.
When does Arsenal vs Hull City kick off?
Sat 07 Nov, 15:00 UTC.