Win probability
53%Werder Bremen
23%Draw
23%SC Paderborn 07
Bundesliga · Germany
Markets
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Under 2.5 goals39%
Both teams score (GG)47%
Double chance 1X76%
Key factors
- ▼Kolke outWER
Kolke is listed as missing with an unspecified injury.
- ▼Hoffmeier outPAD
Hoffmeier is out with a muscle injury.
- ▼An MRI confirmed a right-thigh injury and Werder say Weiser is out until further notice with no timescale, which also puts the 22 November derby with HSV at risk.WER
An MRI confirmed a right-thigh injury and Werder say Weiser is out until further notice with no timescale, which also puts the 22 November derby with HSV at risk.
- ▼Gayret outPAD
Gayret listed absent (rehab training) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Topp outWER
Topp listed absent (cruciate ligament tear) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Stark outWER
Stark listed absent (muscular problems) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
Preview
Werder Bremen come into this home game off a draw at Dortmund, where Niclas Füllkrug scored a late equaliser. Bremen have scored three goals a game at the Weserstadion this season and sit seventh. The injury list is long. Jens Stage, Salim Musah, Justin Njinmah, Keke Topp, Skelly Alvero, Felix Agu and Moussa Ndiaye are all out. Senne Lynen is back in partial training but may be short of a start. Amos Pieper's scan showed no structural damage and he could still make it. Füllkrug and Marco Grüll had their training load reduced this week. Paderborn lost 2-0 at home to Stuttgart, though they created more by expected goals than the visitors. They are without Timur Gayret, Marcel Hoffmeier and Sebastian Klaas, and have yet to score in an away league game this season. Four of the last five meetings, friendlies and cup ties included, produced three or more goals. The bookmakers make Bremen favourites. We rate the home win at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Bremen score freely at home and this fixture has a history of goals, even with Paderborn struggling away. Our surest pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.55, rated at 61%.
Head to head
- 2026-08-08Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
- 2024-10-30SC Paderborn 07 0–1 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
- 2022-10-19SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
- 2022-01-22SC Paderborn 07 3–4 Werder Bremen2. Bundesliga
- 2021-08-15Werder Bremen 1–4 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
FAQ
Who is missing for Werder Bremen against Paderborn?
Jens Stage, Salim Musah, Justin Njinmah, Keke Topp, Skelly Alvero, Felix Agu and Moussa Ndiaye are out. Senne Lynen and Amos Pieper are working back towards fitness.
Who is favourite to win Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?
Bremen are favourites at home. We rate a Bremen win at 53%, the draw at 23% and a Paderborn win at 23%.
What is the best bet for Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55, which we rate at 61%. No bet is ever sure, so stake responsibly.
What is the best bet for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55, rated 61% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 61% for this match.
When does Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 UTC.