Win probability
63%SC Freiburg
22%Draw
15%Union Berlin
Bundesliga · Germany
Markets
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Under 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score (GG)49%
Double chance 1X85%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · SC FreiburgFRE
Freiburg flew to Turkey and won at Trabzonspor on Thursday night, and host Union on Sunday with little time to travel back and recover.
- ▼Starter out · Union BerlinUNI
Centre-back Felix Uduokhai is listed as suspended for the trip to Freiburg in the official matchday 9 team news.
- ▼Kemlein outUNI
Kemlein is out with a shoulder injury.
- ▼Uduokhai suspendedUNI
Uduokhai is suspended after a red card.
- ▼Skov outUNI
Skov listed absent (unspecified knock) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Ilić outUNI
Ilić listed absent (appendix surgery) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Player suspendedUNI
Union are without a suspended first-choice centre-back for Sunday's Bundesliga game against Koln.
- ▼Player outFRE
Muslija (knee), Ogbus (muscle) and Yilmaz (tooth) are listed as out for Freiburg.
Preview
Freiburg are third with 16 points from eight games, and they score three a game at home. Union are 16th with seven points, and the road has been brutal: they average 0.33 goals scored and four conceded per away game. They do arrive in better spirits, unbeaten in four league games. The last of those was a 1-1 draw with Köln, days after a 5-0 cup defeat there. Freiburg's catch is the calendar. They won 1-0 at Trabzonspor on Thursday, with Lukas Kübler scoring, and now have a short turnaround. Julian Schuster did make four changes in Turkey, leaving Niklas Beste, Lucas Höler, Derry Scherhant and Yuito Suzuki out of the starting side. Union have had a full week to prepare, but Felix Uduokhai is suspended and Andrej Ilić is only a doubt for lack of match fitness. History is the warning sign: Freiburg have not beaten Union in the last five meetings, with three Union wins and two draws. Even so, the gap in home and away form is clear. We rate a home win at 62.6%, the likeliest outcome on the card.
Freiburg's home scoring and Union's away record outweigh the short turnaround from Trabzon. We rate the home win at 62.6%. The price of 1.56 offers no value, so treat it as the likeliest result rather than a bargain.
Head to head
- 2026-03-15SC Freiburg 0–1 Union BerlinBundesliga
- 2025-11-01Union Berlin 0–0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- 2025-03-30SC Freiburg 1–2 Union BerlinBundesliga
- 2024-11-08Union Berlin 0–0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- 2024-05-18Union Berlin 2–1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
FAQ
Who is missing for Freiburg v Union Berlin?
Union are without the suspended Felix Uduokhai, and Andrej Ilić is a doubt for lack of match fitness. Freiburg list Muslija and Yilmaz as out and Ogbus as a doubt.
How have recent meetings gone?
Union are unbeaten in the last five: three wins and two draws. Two of those five games ended 0-0.
Did Freiburg play in midweek?
Yes. They won 1-0 at Trabzonspor in the Conference League on Thursday, then host Union on Sunday.
What is the best bet for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Our top pick is SC Freiburg to win at odds of 1.56, rated 63% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 59% for this match.
When does SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin kick off?
Sun 08 Nov, 16:30 UTC.