Win probability
37%Union Berlin
26%Draw
37%1. FC Köln
Bundesliga · Germany
Markets
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Under 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score (GG)52%
Double chance 1X63%
Key factors
- ●Key defender out · Union BerlinUNI
Union centre-back Felix Uduokhai was banned for two league matches by the DFB sports court after his last-man red card at Augsburg, so he misses Sunday's game.
- ●Key attacker out · 1. FC KölnKOL
Koln striker Ragnar Ache was missing from the cup win over Union and is listed as doubtful with a thigh problem; coach Wagner said his side still lacks a clear number nine. Counted at half weight as a doubt.
- ▼Uduokhai suspendedUNI
Uduokhai is suspended after a red card.
- ▼Kemlein outUNI
Kemlein is out with a shoulder injury.
- ▼Skhiri outKOL
Skhiri listed absent (ankle injury) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Rondić outKOL
Rondić listed absent (muscle injury) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Hübers outKOL
Hübers listed absent (knee injury) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Dallinga outKOL
Dallinga listed absent (cruciate ligament injury) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
Preview
Union and Koln meet for the second time in five days. On Tuesday Koln won the DFB-Pokal tie 5-0, with Said El Mala scoring twice, even without a recognised centre-forward. Now the scene moves to the Alte Forsterei, where Koln have never won a Bundesliga game. Union sit 17th with 6 points from seven games and have only one league win. They drew 1-1 at Augsburg last weekend, their first away goal of the season, but lost centre-back Felix Uduokhai to a red card there, and he serves the first game of a two-match ban on Sunday. Koln are 12th on 8 points and still short up front: Ragnar Ache missed the cup tie and is listed as doubtful. The numbers point to goals. Union's home games average 2.75 goals and Koln's away games average 3.0. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5. The result market is a coin flip, so we look to the goals line: we rate over 2.5 at 59%.
With Uduokhai suspended and both defences leaking this season, we expect goals. Over 2.5 at 59% is our pick; the result itself is too close to call.
Head to head
- 2026-10-271. FC Köln 5–0 Union BerlinDFB Pokal
- 2026-05-02Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC KölnBundesliga
- 2025-12-201. FC Köln 0–1 Union BerlinBundesliga
- 2024-05-111. FC Köln 3–2 Union BerlinBundesliga
- 2023-12-20Union Berlin 2–0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
FAQ
Who is missing for Union Berlin against Koln?
Centre-back Felix Uduokhai is suspended for two league games after his red card at Augsburg, so he sits this one out.
What happened in the cup meeting on Tuesday?
Koln won 5-0 at home to knock Union out of the DFB-Pokal, with Said El Mala scoring twice.
Why over 2.5 goals rather than a winner?
The bookmakers make it almost even between the two sides, while goals look likelier: Union's home games average 2.75 goals and Koln's away games average 3.0. We rate over 2.5 at 59%.
What is the best bet for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.69, rated 59% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 59% for this match.
When does Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln kick off?
Sun 01 Nov, 14:30 UTC.