Win probability
65%RB Leipzig
20%Draw
15%FC Augsburg
Bundesliga · Germany
Markets
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Under 2.5 goals25%
Both teams score (GG)59%
Double chance 1X85%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · RB LeipzigLEI
Leipzig played the Champions League at home to Man City on Wednesday, their third match in eight days, with only three days' rest.
- ▼Starter out · FC AugsburgAUG
Juma Bah has a two-league-game ban for his red card against Union; he has served one, against Freiburg, where Gouweleeuw replaced him.
- ▼Starter out · FC AugsburgAUG
Noahkai Banks has an outer ligament injury and Baum said he remained out; no newer update found.
- ▼Mounié outAUG
Mounié is out with a knee injury.
- ▼Bah suspendedAUG
Bah is suspended after a red card.
- ▼Guiu outLEI
Guiu is out with a muscle injury.
- ▲Baumgartner could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI.LEI
Baumgartner could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI.
- ▲Nkunku could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI against Augsburg.LEI
Nkunku could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI against Augsburg.
Preview
Leipzig have been ruthless at home in the league: 12 points from four games, 18 scored and none conceded. Augsburg bring the opposite problem. Their defence keeps giving away late goals, and they lost 2-1 to Freiburg after leading, conceding at 66 and 86 minutes. Augsburg are also short at the back. Juma Bah has one game left of his two-match ban, and Noahkai Banks and Calvin Brackelmann were still missing at last report. The caution is fatigue. Leipzig lost 3-2 to Manchester City on Wednesday, their third game in eight days, and they have only three days to recover. Christopher Nkunku came off the bench in that game, so his fitness doubt looks settled. The head-to-head favours Leipzig: they won 6-0 in Augsburg in October 2025 and 2-1 at home in March, and four of the last five meetings went over 2.5. We trim Leipzig for the short week, add back for Augsburg's gaps, and land on 65%.
Leipzig's home record is too strong to ignore, and Augsburg are short at the back. We rate the home win at 65%.
Head to head
- 2026-03-07RB Leipzig 2–1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 2025-10-25FC Augsburg 0–6 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- 2025-02-14FC Augsburg 0–0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- 2024-09-28RB Leipzig 4–0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 2024-02-10FC Augsburg 2–2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
FAQ
What is the pick for RB Leipzig v Augsburg?
Leipzig to win, at 65%.
Why not over 2.5 goals?
Its price is below our 1.30 minimum odds, even though the market rates it above 70%.
What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
Our top pick is RB Leipzig to win at odds of 1.50, rated 65% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 75% for this match.
When does RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg kick off?
Sat 07 Nov, 14:30 UTC.