Win probability
31%FC Augsburg
25%Draw
44%SC Freiburg
Bundesliga · Germany
Markets
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Under 2.5 goals35%
Both teams score (GG)58%
Double chance X269%
Key factors
- ▼Mounié outAUG
Mounié is out with a knee injury.
- ▼Bah suspendedAUG
Bah is suspended after a red card.
- ▼Mouníe outAUG
Mouníe listed absent (reason unknown) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Brackelmann outAUG
Brackelmann listed absent (concussion) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.
- ▼Player outAUG
Baum said Calvin Brackelmann is recovering from a concussion but was not an option; Noahkai Banks (outer ligament) and Steve Mounié also remain out.
- ▼Coach Manuel Baum said his side keep throwing away points through late defensive lapses, a recurring problem in the final quarter hour.AUG
Coach Manuel Baum said his side keep throwing away points through late defensive lapses, a recurring problem in the final quarter hour.
Preview
Both sides went through in the cup this week, and both did it the entertaining way. Augsburg won 4-2 at third-tier Grossaspach on Tuesday after Manuel Baum made five changes, with substitutes Arijon Ibrahimovic and Anton Kade changing the game. Freiburg came from 1-2 down to beat Wolfsburg 3-2 on Wednesday, Keisuke Goto scoring twice off the bench, after Julian Schuster rotated heavily three days on from a 1-3 home defeat to Bayern. Augsburg are thin at the back. Juma Bah is banned for two league games after his red card against Union Berlin, Noahkai Banks is out, and Calvin Brackelmann is doubtful after a head clash in the same match. Freiburg get Yannik Engelhardt back. This fixture tends to produce goals: four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, the exception a 0-0. Augsburg score 2.0 and concede 1.25 per home game. We see no sourced reason to move the market, which rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A stretched Augsburg defence and a fixture that usually brings goals. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.47, rated 65%.
Head to head
- 2026-01-18FC Augsburg 2–2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- 2025-08-23SC Freiburg 1–3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 2025-03-02FC Augsburg 0–0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- 2024-10-19SC Freiburg 3–1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 2024-02-25FC Augsburg 2–1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
FAQ
Who is favourite for Augsburg vs Freiburg?
Freiburg are slight favourites at 44%, with Augsburg at 31% and the draw at 25%.
Will there be goals in Augsburg vs Freiburg?
Four of the last five meetings had three or more goals, and Augsburg are missing defenders. We rate over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Who is missing for Augsburg?
Juma Bah is suspended for two league games, Noahkai Banks is out and Calvin Brackelmann is doubtful after a head knock against Union Berlin.
What is the best bet for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47, rated 65% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 65% for this match.
When does FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg kick off?
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UTC.