Win probability
42%Venezia
26%Draw
32%Udinese
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals55%
Under 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score (GG)60%
Double chance 1X68%
Key factors
- ▲New manager · UdineseUDI
Udinese appointed Paolo Zanetti on 2 Nov to replace Runjaic; Friday is his first game in charge.
- ●Cagey contest · Both teamsBoth
Relegation six-pointer between the bottom two: Venezia are last on 3 points and Zanetti himself calls Udinese second from bottom.
- ●Open game expected · Both teamsBoth
Open head-to-head pattern: all five of the last meetings had at least three goals (3, 5, 5, 3, 3), counted from our fixture data; the cited report shows Venezia bottom and chasing points.
- ▼At his unveiling Zanetti said only players who run and work hard will get picked, and that he is ready to move away from a back four.UDI
At his unveiling Zanetti said only players who run and work hard will get picked, and that he is ready to move away from a back four.
- ▼Udinese sacked coach Kosta Runjaic with the side second-bottom on 5 points after ten rounds, and appointed Paolo Zanetti on a deal to June 2027.UDI
Udinese sacked coach Kosta Runjaic with the side second-bottom on 5 points after ten rounds, and appointed Paolo Zanetti on a deal to June 2027.
- ▼Alaba outUDI
Alaba listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
- ▼Player outUDI
Udinese are without Oumar Solet, Bayo, David Alaba, Gueye and Alessandro Zanoli; Solet and Bayo are back in partial training and target the Venezia game. Zaniolo and Davis are playing while not fully fit.
- ▼Jesper Karlström suspendedUDI
Midfielder Jesper Karlström is one booking away from a suspension.
Preview
The bottom two meet at the Penzo, and Udinese do it under a new coach. Paolo Zanetti has replaced Kosta Runjaic after seven defeats in eight league games, so this is his first match. Venezia are last on 3 points, lost 1-0 at Como last time and have scored just 0.6 a game. Udinese are second from bottom. Zanetti has good news on Oumar Solet, who has recovered, although he is still judging how many minutes the defender can play. He also said two or three other important players need assessing, without naming them. David Alaba is aiming for the next round, while Bayo and Zanoli are listed to return after the break. Venezia are without Adorante, Sverko, Correia and Franjic. All five of the last meetings had three goals or more, with totals of 3, 5, 5, 3 and 3, and Udinese concede more than two a game. Relegation nerves pull the other way. We land on over 2.5 goals at just under 55%, short of our line, so no pick. Venezia 42%, draw 26%, Udinese 32%.
The head-to-head points to goals, but a tense bottom-two meeting cancels part of that. Over 2.5 sits just under our 55% line, so we pass on a pick.
Head to head
- 2026-09-02Udinese 2–1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
- 2025-02-01Udinese 3–2 VeneziaSerie A
- 2024-10-30Venezia 3–2 UdineseSerie A
- 2022-04-10Venezia 1–2 UdineseSerie A
- 2021-08-27Udinese 3–0 VeneziaSerie A
FAQ
Who coaches Udinese against Venezia?
Paolo Zanetti, who replaced Kosta Runjaic. This is his first game in charge.
Is Oumar Solet fit?
Zanetti says he has recovered, but he is still assessing how many minutes Solet can play.
Why is there no pick?
Our best number is over 2.5 goals at just under 55%, below the minimum we publish.
What is the best bet for Venezia vs Udinese?
The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.91, rated 53% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 55% for this match.
When does Venezia vs Udinese kick off?
Fri 06 Nov, 19:45 UTC.