Inter

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Key player out · Inter

  Captain Lautaro Martinez strained his left hamstring in mid-October and Como was among the seven games he was expected to miss, with a return after the international break. Known for more than 14 days, so half weight.

  INT
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  Starter out · Como

  Fabregas said Kean needs about five more weeks for a shin injury that began on international duty and was first treated conservatively. Long-running problem, so half the regular-starter weight.

  COM
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  Key player out · Como

  Fabregas said Chalobah was out for Lens and that Como would see about the next game. He is a doubt, not a confirmed absence, so he counts well below a full absence.

  COM
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  Fixture congestion · Como

  Como played Venezia on 1 November and won at Lens on 4 November, so Sunday at Inter is their third match in eight days.

  COM
• ●
  Key attacker out · Inter

  Sky lists Lautaro Martinez as absent until after the break. Half weight, as the absence is long known.

  INT
• ●
  Key defender out · Como

  Fabregas said Chalobah was out for Lens and that Como would see about the next game. A doubt, so a small lift for goals only.

  COM
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  Barring surprises, Stones has recovered from a flexor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.

  Barring surprises, Stones has recovered from a flexor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.

  INT
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  Barring surprises, Jones has recovered from an adductor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.

  Barring surprises, Jones has recovered from an adductor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.

  INT

Preview

Inter sit second on 25 points and Como fourth on 23, so this is a genuine top-four test at San Siro. Inter answered their 3-1 derby defeat to Milan with a 3-0 win at Feyenoord. Como arrive on six straight wins in all competitions, the latest a 9-1 rout at Lens with a Tasos Douvikas hat-trick. Both attacks are short of bodies. Lautaro Martinez is out until after the break. Moise Kean has a shin injury, and Fabregas says his focus is on getting back the many players he is missing, especially up front. Trevoh Chalobah is a doubt. Chivu wants John Stones and Curtis Jones available. This is also Como's third match in eight days, so we nudge Inter up to 52.0%. That is still short of a pick. Goals are the angle. The last five meetings produced 18 goals, three of them with four or more. But over 2.5 at 1.50 now falls below our edge limit. Under 3.5 at 1.75 clears it, and we rate it at 57.6%. The forecast is dry and calm.

Head to head

• 2026-04-21Inter 3–2 ComoCoppa Italia
• 2026-04-12Como 3–4 InterSerie A
• 2026-03-03Como 0–0 InterCoppa Italia
• 2025-12-06Inter 4–0 ComoSerie A
• 2025-05-23Como 0–2 InterSerie A