Win probability
14%Venezia
19%Draw
67%Inter
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals32%
Both teams score (GG)50%
Double chance X286%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · InterINT
Inter play their third match in eight days: Shakhtar on 21 October, Fiorentina on 25 October, then Venezia. Chivu said after Shakhtar that a game every three days forces him to pick fresh legs.
- ▼Key player out · InterINT
Lautaro Martinez strained his left hamstring against Club Brugge and could only return at Atalanta on 22 November. Counted at half weight because Inter have already played three games without him.
- ●Key attacker out · InterINT
Inter striker Lautaro Martinez is out with a hamstring strain, and Sky's matchday-9 list confirms he stays out until after the November internationals.
- ▲Barring surprises, Jones has recovered from an adductor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.INT
Barring surprises, Jones has recovered from an adductor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.
- ▲Barring surprises, Stones has recovered from a flexor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.INT
Barring surprises, Stones has recovered from a flexor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.
- ▼Stones outINT
Stones listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
- ▼Pavard outINT
Pavard listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
- ▼Pio Esposito was out with flu for the Milan derby, per ESPN column.INT
Pio Esposito was out with flu for the Milan derby, per ESPN column.
Preview
Bottom meets top. Venezia are 20th with 3 points and one win from eight games, while Inter lead Serie A on 22 points, unbeaten with seven wins and a draw. Davide Nicola's reign at Venezia began with a 1-0 win over Napoli, but they lost 1-0 at Genoa on Sunday. Venezia have scored only 0.75 goals a game at home, and Correia, Sverko, Franjic and striker Adorante are all missing. Inter needed two stoppage-time goals to beat Fiorentina 2-1 on Sunday. This is their third game in eight days, with the derby against Milan on Saturday, and Chivu has said he will keep rotating, with Provedel now sharing goalkeeping duties. Lautaro Martinez, Pavard, Stones, Curtis Jones and Luis Henrique are all out. Inter won all of the last five meetings, scoring 11 and conceding 2, with two of the five going over 2.5 goals. Inter should win, but at these short prices the odds leave no room: we rate an Inter win at 67.0% against a price of 1.38, so there is no main pick.
Inter are clear favourites, but a tight schedule and Lautaro's absence make the short prices poor value. No main pick; we rate an Inter win at 67.0%.
Head to head
- 2025-12-03Inter 5–1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
- 2025-01-12Venezia 0–1 InterSerie A
- 2024-11-03Inter 1–0 VeneziaSerie A
- 2022-01-22Inter 2–1 VeneziaSerie A
- 2021-11-27Venezia 0–2 InterSerie A
FAQ
Who is missing for Inter at Venezia?
Lautaro Martinez, Pavard, Stones, Curtis Jones and Luis Henrique are all out injured.
Who is missing for Venezia?
Correia, Sverko, Franjic and Adorante are unavailable.
Why is there no pick?
An Inter win is likely, but at 1.38 the price is too short for our 67.0% rating, and over 2.5 goals at 1.36 is too short for our 67.6%.
What is the best bet for Venezia vs Inter?
The market favourite is Inter to win at odds of 1.39, rated 71% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 68% for this match.
When does Venezia vs Inter kick off?
Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 UTC.