Win probability
45%Torino
28%Draw
27%Monza
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score (GG)64%
Double chance 1X73%
Key factors
- ▲Belghali is back in group training after a knee contusion and is in the predicted XI.TOR
Belghali is back in group training after a knee contusion and is in the predicted XI.
- ▼Mandragora doubtfulTOR
Mandragora is aiming for a call-up against Lecce after a thigh flexor lesion, with great caution.
- ▲Carboni is aiming to return from the start against Atalanta.MON
Carboni is aiming to return from the start against Atalanta.
- ▼Folorunsho outMON
Sky now list Folorunsho as unavailable for Atalanta with his calf problem.
- ▼Folorunsho doubtfulMON
Folorunsho's calf problem leaves him a doubt for the home game with Atalanta.
- ▼Belghali doubtfulTOR
Doubtful for Lecce after a knee knock taken at Frosinone forced him off.
Preview
Torino host Monza on Friday with both sides coming off big wins. Torino sit 10th on 10 points and won 3-0 at Parma on their last outing. They are without defender Niccolò Fortini (adductor) and Ilkhan (adductor strain), but coach Abate has had five strikers to choose from. Monza are 14th on seven points and thrashed Cagliari 4-0 on Monday, with Varela scoring twice to reach six league goals. Their injury list is long: Matteo Pessina is not expected back until after the November break, and Maye and Zeballos missed the Cagliari win. The head-to-head is tight and low-scoring. None of the last five meetings had more than two goals, Torino won two, Monza one and two were drawn, and Monza won the most recent one 1-0 in Turin in the Coppa Italia. The market makes Torino a 45% favourite and leans slightly to under 2.5. Nothing clears our 55% bar, so we publish no main pick.
An even, low-scoring matchup on recent history with no outcome strong enough to back. No main pick; the market makes Torino a 45% favourite.
Head to head
- 2026-09-01Torino 0–1 MonzaCoppa Italia
- 2025-03-02Monza 0–2 TorinoSerie A
- 2024-11-24Torino 1–1 MonzaSerie A
- 2024-03-30Torino 1–0 MonzaSerie A
- 2023-11-11Monza 1–1 TorinoSerie A
FAQ
Who is the favourite in Torino vs Monza?
Torino, rated at about 45% by the market, with Monza and the draw near 27–28% each.
Do Torino vs Monza games have many goals?
Not lately: none of the last five meetings had more than two goals.
What is the best bet for Torino vs Monza?
The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.96, rated 50% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 48% for this match.
When does Torino vs Monza kick off?
Fri 23 Oct, 18:45 UTC.