Win probability
30%Parma
32%Draw
38%Torino
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals41%
Under 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score (GG)47%
Double chance X270%
Key factors
- ▼Starter out · TorinoTOR
Torino midfielder Ilkhan is injured and misses the match; Sky Sport expects Braganca to replace him alongside Mandragora.
- ▲Belghali is back in group training after a knee contusion and is in the predicted XI.TOR
Belghali is back in group training after a knee contusion and is in the predicted XI.
- ▼Mandragora doubtfulTOR
Mandragora is aiming for a call-up against Lecce after a thigh flexor lesion, with great caution.
- ▼Bernabe outPAR
Bernabe misses Bologna with a left rectus femoris problem and is expected back at the end of November.
- ▼Drobnic outPAR
Drobnic is out against Bologna with plantar fasciitis.
- ▼Bernabé outPAR
Bernabé has a low-grade left rectus femoris strain, misses Bologna and is expected back at the end of November.
- ▼Belghali doubtfulTOR
Doubtful for Lecce after a knee knock taken at Frosinone forced him off.
Preview
Parma against Torino closes the round at the Tardini, and both sides have struggled to score. Parma are 16th on 4 points, average one goal a game at home and lost at Inter last time out; this is Gilardino's first home game in charge. Torino are 13th on 7 points and come in off a win over Udinese. Parma are without Elphege after surgery for acute appendicitis, while Almqvist and Nicolussi Caviglia are also out; Bernabe and N'Diaye are back and expected to start. Torino lose midfielder Ilkhan, so Braganca should partner Mandragora, with Adams and Simeone up front. Parma's home games have averaged two goals in total this season, and the expected-goals model puts each side at about 1.15. The last five meetings are mixed: three went over 2.5 goals, two finished with one goal or fewer. With two low-scoring teams and no reason to expect an open game, we rate under 2.5 goals at 59%, our surest call for this match.
Two sides short of goals meet in a game that projects tight. Our sure pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%.
Head to head
- 2026-03-13Torino 4–1 ParmaSerie A
- 2025-09-29Parma 2–1 TorinoSerie A
- 2025-03-08Parma 2–2 TorinoSerie A
- 2025-01-05Torino 0–0 ParmaSerie A
- 2021-05-03Torino 1–0 ParmaSerie A
FAQ
Who is missing for Parma vs Torino?
Parma are without Elphege, Almqvist and Nicolussi Caviglia; Torino are missing Ilkhan, with Fortini a doubt.
What is the pick for Parma vs Torino?
Under 2.5 goals, which we rate at 59% at odds of 1.68.
How have recent meetings gone?
Of the last five meetings, three had three or more goals and two had one goal or fewer.
What is the best bet for Parma vs Torino?
Our top pick is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.68, rated 59% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 41% for this match.
When does Parma vs Torino kick off?
Mon 19 Oct, 18:45 UTC.