Win probability
19%Parma
29%Draw
52%Bologna
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals43%
Under 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score (GG)37%
Double chance X281%
Key factors
- ▼Key player out · ParmaPAR
Bernabé has a low-grade left rectus femoris strain from training on 1 November and misses Bologna. Below the full cap because Parma won 3-0 at Atalanta without him.
- ▼Key player out · BolognaBOL
Half weight: Piccoli returned to group training on 4 November but Sky's list the same day still calls him a strong doubt.
- ●Key attacker out · BolognaBOL
Half weight for striker Piccoli, who is back in group training but still a strong doubt per Sky.
- ▼Bernabe outPAR
Bernabe misses Bologna with a left rectus femoris problem and is expected back at the end of November.
- ▲Darmian is ready to come back into the side for the Parma game.BOL
Darmian is ready to come back into the side for the Parma game.
- ▲Orsolini came back from injury last week and is available for Parma.BOL
Orsolini came back from injury last week and is available for Parma.
- ▼Piccoli doubtfulBOL
Sky's preview has Piccoli back in group work since midweek after a biceps femoris lesion, though its injury list still calls him a strong doubt for Parma.
- ▼Drobnic outPAR
Drobnic is out against Bologna with plantar fasciitis.
Preview
Goals have been hard to come by in Parma's home games. They score just 0.6 a game at the Tardini. Their best day came away, a 3-0 win at Atalanta on Monday that was Gilardino's first as Parma coach. Bernabé missed that game with a thigh strain and misses this one too, and Drobnic has plantar fasciitis in his left foot, so Gilardino is short in midfield and defence. Bologna are ninth and have won three straight, including 2-1 against Monza, and they had a full week off while Parma had five days. They are short of a settled striker, though. Piccoli only returned to group training on Wednesday and Sky still calls him a strong doubt. Dovbyk has just come back, and Odgaard has played up front. Past meetings have been tight, with ten goals in the last five and only two over 2.5. Bologna are favourites at 52%, which falls short. We rate under 2.5 at 56.6%.
Parma don't score much at home and Bologna lack a fit first-choice striker. We rate under 2.5 goals at 56.6%.
Head to head
- 2026-02-08Bologna 0–1 ParmaSerie A
- 2025-12-04Bologna 2–1 ParmaCoppa Italia
- 2025-11-02Parma 1–3 BolognaSerie A
- 2025-02-22Parma 2–0 BolognaSerie A
- 2024-10-06Bologna 0–0 ParmaSerie A
FAQ
What is the pick for Parma v Bologna?
Under 2.5 goals at 56.6%.
Is Piccoli fit for Bologna?
He returned to group training on 4 November, but Sky still lists him as a strong doubt.
What is the best bet for Parma vs Bologna?
Our top pick is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.79, rated 57% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 43% for this match.
When does Parma vs Bologna kick off?
Sat 07 Nov, 17:00 UTC.