Win probability
65%Lazio
21%Draw
13%Cagliari
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score (GG)55%
Double chance 1X86%
Key factors
- ▼Key player out · LazioLAZ
Creator Albert Gudmundsson dislocated his right shoulder on Iceland duty, reported on 1 October with about three weeks out; the absence has been known for four weeks, so it counts at half weight.
- ▲Form & head-to-head · LazioLAZ
Form in context: Cagliari's 4-2 defeat at Roma followed losses to Monza and Bologna, three league defeats in a row, while Lazio are unbeaten with eight wins from nine.
- ▼Zaccagni outLAZ
Zaccagni has a left quadriceps lesion, misses Napoli and risks about a month out; he will be assessed after the break.
- ▼Nzola outCAG
Nzola has a flexor strain and is out until at least the end of November.
- ▼Fadera outCAG
Fadera is out until at least the end of November with a biceps femoris lesion.
- ▲Pinamonti is ready to resume his place up front.LAZ
Pinamonti is ready to resume his place up front.
- ▼Obert suspendedCAG
Obert serves a one-match ban and misses Frosinone.
- ▼Nuno Tavares doubtfulLAZ
Tavares has calf tightness and is listed as a doubt for the trip to Napoli.
Preview
Lazio are flying. Gattuso's side sit second on 25 points, unbeaten after nine games with eight wins, and they hit six at Sassuolo on Tuesday for a fifth straight victory. Andrea Pinamonti is over his fever and came off the bench in that 6-2 win. Albert Gudmundsson is still out with his dislocated shoulder, while Lazio hope to have Nicolò Rovella and Adam Marusic back for this one. Cagliari arrive in a slump. They led early at Roma through an Nzola penalty but lost 4-2, a third straight league defeat after Monza and Bologna. Harry Winks missed that game with a lower-back problem, and Mattia Felici and Riyad Idrissi are out with cruciate ligament injuries. History backs the hosts too: Lazio are unbeaten in the last five meetings, with four wins, including 2-0 and 2-1 at the Olimpico. The market makes Lazio 66% favourites. We knock a little off for Gudmundsson and add a little for the form gap, and rate the home win at 65%.
Lazio's run and Cagliari's three straight defeats point one way. We back the home win at 1.49, rated at 65%.
Head to head
- 2026-02-21Cagliari 0–0 LazioSerie A
- 2025-11-03Lazio 2–0 CagliariSerie A
- 2025-02-03Cagliari 1–2 LazioSerie A
- 2024-11-04Lazio 2–1 CagliariSerie A
- 2024-02-10Cagliari 1–3 LazioSerie A
FAQ
Who is missing for Lazio against Cagliari?
Albert Gudmundsson is still out with a dislocated shoulder. Nicolò Rovella and Adam Marusic are working back from injury and Lazio hope to have them available.
What is Cagliari's recent form?
Cagliari have lost three league games in a row: at Monza, against Bologna and 4-2 at Roma.
How have recent Lazio vs Cagliari games gone?
Lazio are unbeaten in the last five meetings, with four wins and a 0-0 draw in Sardinia in February.
What is the best bet for Lazio vs Cagliari?
Our top pick is Lazio to win at odds of 1.49, rated 65% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 52% for this match.
When does Lazio vs Cagliari kick off?
Sun 01 Nov, 14:00 UTC.