Win probability
44%Genoa
29%Draw
27%Venezia
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals49%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score (GG)63%
Double chance 1X73%
Key factors
- ▼Nuredini outGEN
Nuredini listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
- ▼Wiafe outGEN
Wiafe listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
- ▼Ehizibue outGEN
Ehizibue listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
- ▼Havel outGEN
Havel listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
- ▼Mikael Ellertsson doubtfulGEN
Ellertsson sprained an ankle in midweek. De Rossi said it was 'nothing serious', but his place against Lecce depended on a final check the day before.
- ▼De Rossi said he would pick his formation and system only at the final training session and that 'there will be room for everyone'. Sow could return, but Havel needs more time.GEN
De Rossi said he would pick his formation and system only at the final training session and that 'there will be room for everyone'. Sow could return, but Havel needs more time.
Preview
This is a basement fight at the Ferraris. Genoa sit 17th on 4 points after seven games, and Venezia are bottom on 3. Genoa arrive off a 2-0 defeat at Roma, where Castro and Lulli scored after the break. Venezia arrive in better spirits: Davide Nicola's first game in charge brought a 1-0 home win over Napoli, with Adams scoring early and Stankovic saving a De Bruyne penalty. Both squads are stretched. Sky Sport's latest injury list has Colombo, Meichtry, Sow and Venturino out for Genoa, with Baldanzi a doubt. For Venezia it lists Franjic, Busio, Sverko and Adorante, with Correia a serious doubt. Genoa have scored 1 goal per home game and conceded 2, while Venezia concede 2.67 per away game. The last two Serie A meetings each ended 2-0 to the home side. The market makes Genoa favourites at 44.3%, the draw 29% and Venezia 26.7%. We see nothing in the news to move those numbers, and no outcome reaches our 55% bar.
Genoa are slight favourites at home, but at 44.3% this is far too close to call. No sure pick here: we publish the market view only.
Head to head
- 2025-02-17Genoa 2–0 VeneziaSerie A
- 2024-09-21Venezia 2–0 GenoaSerie A
- 2024-07-20Venezia 1–3 GenoaFriendlies Clubs
- 2023-07-22Genoa 1–4 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
- 2023-01-16Genoa 1–0 VeneziaSerie B
FAQ
Who is favourite in Genoa vs Venezia?
Genoa, narrowly. Bookmaker prices give them a 44.3% chance of winning, against 29% for the draw and 26.7% for Venezia.
Why is there no pick for this match?
None of the priced markets reaches our 55% threshold, and the team news does not justify moving the numbers. When it is that close, we skip the pick.
How did the last meetings go?
The last two Serie A meetings both ended 2-0 to the home side: Genoa won at home in February 2025, and Venezia won at home in September 2024.
What is the best bet for Genoa vs Venezia?
The market favourite is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.90, rated 52% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 49% for this match.
When does Genoa vs Venezia kick off?
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UTC.