Win probability
18%Genoa
27%Draw
55%Juventus
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals45%
Under 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score (GG)49%
Double chance X282%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · JuventusJUV
Juventus play their third match in seven days: Rennes at home in the Europa League on 22 Oct, Lecce away on 25 Oct, then Genoa on 28 Oct (house rule 2). Goal (25 Oct) adds that Spalletti may rotate some players.
- ●Key attacker out · JuventusJUV
Kenan Yildiz, described by beIN Sports (30 Aug) as Juventus' number 10 and one of their most important attacking players, is still injured per Goal (25 Oct). Half weight: the absence has been known since the 30 Aug foot-fracture report.
- ▲McKennie has shaken off the problem that kept him out against AZ and returns to the side for Fiorentina.JUV
McKennie has shaken off the problem that kept him out against AZ and returns to the side for Fiorentina.
- ▼Celik doubtfulJUV
Celik is being monitored; Juventus hope to have him at least on the bench against Fiorentina, but nothing is decided.
- ▼Conceicao doubtfulJUV
Conceicao, who dislocated a shoulder, is also being monitored for a possible bench place against Fiorentina.
- ▼Tuttosport says Boga could start at Fiorentina on Sunday so that Alajbegovic, who has played a lot lately, gets a rest.JUV
Tuttosport says Boga could start at Fiorentina on Sunday so that Alajbegovic, who has played a lot lately, gets a rest.
- ▼Weston McKennie doubtfulJUV
Left out of the Europa League squad for AZ with adductor fatigue; scans ruled out a tear, but Sunday's game at Fiorentina is unconfirmed.
- ▼Thuram outJUV
Thuram listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
Preview
Genoa have not scored against Juventus in any of the last five meetings. Juve won four of them and the other ended 0-0, and four of the five finished under 2.5 goals. Genoa sit 16th on 7 points but have won two of their last three, including a 1-0 home win over Venezia on Sunday that gave them their first clean sheet of the season. They score just 1 goal per home game. Juventus are 7th on 14 points after winning 2-0 at Lecce, but this is their third game in seven days and the treatment room is crowded. Conceição (shoulder), Nico Gonzalez and Celik (both muscle strains) are out, along with Yildiz, Locatelli, Thuram and Grabara. Spalletti has switched to a 3-5-2 with three central midfielders and said moments like this call for more solidity. Genoa will check on Wiafe, who went off against Venezia with a suspected groin problem. Tired legs on one side, a thin attack on both: we rate under 2.5 goals at 55%.
Juventus are stretched and set up to be solid, and Genoa rarely score at home. We take under 2.5 goals at 1.85, rated at 55%.
Head to head
- 2026-04-06Juventus 2–0 GenoaSerie A
- 2025-08-31Genoa 0–1 JuventusSerie A
- 2025-03-29Juventus 1–0 GenoaSerie A
- 2024-09-28Genoa 0–3 JuventusSerie A
- 2024-03-17Juventus 0–0 GenoaSerie A
FAQ
Who is missing for Juventus at Genoa?
Conceição, Nico Gonzalez and Celik are out with fresh injuries, joining Yildiz, Locatelli, Thuram and Grabara on the sidelines.
What is the recent head-to-head?
Juventus won four of the last five meetings and drew the other 0-0. Genoa failed to score in all five, and four of the five ended under 2.5 goals.
Why not back Juventus to win?
This is their third match in seven days. That takes our Juventus win rating to 55%, which is too low for the 1.72 price, so we prefer the goals line.
What is the best bet for Genoa vs Juventus?
Our top pick is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85, rated 55% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 45% for this match.
When does Genoa vs Juventus kick off?
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UTC.