Serie A · ItalySat 07 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Cagliari

LLLLD

61%

confidence

Frosinone

WWDWL

Sure pickUnder 3.5 goals

Odds1.64How over/under goals works →

Win probability

34%Cagliari

29%Draw

37%Frosinone

Markets

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Under 2.5 goals42%

Both teams score (GG)48%

Double chance X266%

Key factors

▼
Key player out · Frosinone
Frosinone's striker Raimondo has a multi-ligament left ankle injury and is out for at least five to six weeks. Fresh news.
FRO
▼
Starter out · Cagliari
Nzola has a low-grade right thigh flexor strain and misses Frosinone.
CAG
▼
Starter out · Cagliari
Fadera tore his right biceps femoris at Lazio and misses this game.
CAG
●
Key attacker out · Frosinone
Raimondo's ankle injury takes Frosinone's main striker out for at least five to six weeks.
FRO
▼
Obert suspended
Obert serves a one-match ban and misses Frosinone.
CAG
▲
Oyono resumes his place at right-back.
Oyono resumes his place at right-back.
FRO
▼
Nzola out
Nzola has a flexor strain and is out until at least the end of November.
CAG
▼
Fadera out
Fadera is out until at least the end of November with a biceps femoris lesion.
CAG

Preview

Both attacks are short of bodies. Frosinone lost Antonio Raimondo to a multi-ligament ankle injury that will keep him out for at least five to six weeks, and Sky lists Grillitsch as out as well. Cagliari are without Nzola and Fadera, both hurt at Lazio, and Obert is suspended after his late red card there. Gagliardini is back in training, which helps. Cagliari have lost four of their last five, but Unipol Domus has been a low-scoring place: they score 0.5 and concede 1.0 a game at home. Frosinone are sixth on 20 points and have been the better side, yet coach Alvini still talks only about survival. One warning: this fixture has been wild, with four of the last five meetings reaching at least four goals. Those games were mostly years ago and with different squads. With so many forwards missing, we rate under 3.5 goals at 61.4%. Frosinone remain slight favourites for the win, but neither side reaches our 55% line.

Our verdict

With Raimondo, Nzola and Fadera all missing, we rate under 3.5 goals at 61.4%.

Head to head

2025-09-23Cagliari 4–1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
2024-01-21Frosinone 3–1 CagliariSerie A
2023-10-29Cagliari 4–3 FrosinoneSerie A
2023-04-15Cagliari 0–0 FrosinoneSerie B
2022-11-27Frosinone 2–2 CagliariSerie B

FAQ

What is the pick for Cagliari v Frosinone?

Under 3.5 goals at 61.4%, because both sides are missing forwards.

How long is Raimondo out?

ANSA reports at least five to six weeks with a multi-ligament left ankle injury.

What is the best bet for Cagliari vs Frosinone?

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.64, rated 61% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 58% for this match.

When does Cagliari vs Frosinone kick off?

Sat 07 Nov, 14:00 UTC.