Win probability
14%Bologna
26%Draw
61%Inter
Serie A · Italy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals57%
Under 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score (GG)48%
Double chance X287%
Key factors
- ▼Key player out · BolognaBOL
Captain Riccardo Orsolini, who scored at Lecce, has a first-degree hamstring strain in his right thigh with a recovery time of about three weeks. Fresh news, so full weight.
- ▼Fixture congestion · InterINT
Inter play their third match in eight days: Parma at home on 10 October, a 4-3 Champions League home defeat to Club Brugge on Tuesday 13 October, then Bologna away on Saturday.
- ▲Orsolini came back from injury last week and is available for Parma.BOL
Orsolini came back from injury last week and is available for Parma.
- ▼Piccoli doubtfulBOL
Sky's preview has Piccoli back in group work since midweek after a biceps femoris lesion, though its injury list still calls him a strong doubt for Parma.
- ▲Barring surprises, Stones has recovered from a flexor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.INT
Barring surprises, Stones has recovered from a flexor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.
- ▲Barring surprises, Jones has recovered from an adductor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.INT
Barring surprises, Jones has recovered from an adductor complaint and will be on the bench against Como.
- ▲Darmian is ready to come back into the side for the Parma game.BOL
Darmian is ready to come back into the side for the Parma game.
- ▼Roberto Piccoli doubtfulBOL
Piccoli's right hamstring lesion makes him a serious doubt for the trip to Parma.
Preview
Inter arrive top of Serie A, unbeaten after six games with 16 points, but they come off a bruising night in Europe. Club Brugge won 4-3 at San Siro on Tuesday, with Lautaro Martinez scoring twice in defeat. That followed a 3-0 home win over Parma last Saturday, so this is Inter's third game in eight days, and Cristian Chivu has already said he will share the minutes around. Bologna sit 14th on five points but won 2-1 at Lecce last weekend. The win came at a price. Captain Riccardo Orsolini, who scored that day, has a hamstring strain and is expected to be out for about three weeks. Jens Odgaard is back in full training, while Arthur Theate was still having therapy early this week, and Emil Holm remains a long-term absentee. The last five meetings were tight: one win each and three draws, including a 3-3 here in May. Even with the fatigue, Inter's squad depth and Bologna's missing captain tip the balance. We rate an Inter win at 61%.
Bologna lose their captain and Inter have the deeper squad, even after a tough week. Our surest pick is an Inter win at 1.65, rated at 61%.
Head to head
- 2026-05-23Bologna 3–3 InterSerie A
- 2026-01-04Inter 3–1 BolognaSerie A
- 2025-12-19Bologna 1–1 InterSuper Cup
- 2025-04-20Bologna 1–0 InterSerie A
- 2025-01-15Inter 2–2 BolognaSerie A
FAQ
Who is missing for Bologna against Inter?
Captain Riccardo Orsolini has a hamstring strain and is expected out for about three weeks. Emil Holm is also out, and Arthur Theate was still having treatment early in the week.
Who is favourite to win Bologna vs Inter?
Inter are clear favourites. We rate an Inter win at 61%, the draw at 26% and a Bologna win at 14%.
What is the best bet for Bologna vs Inter?
Our main pick is an Inter win at odds of 1.65, which we rate at 61%. No bet is ever sure, so stake responsibly.
What is the best bet for Bologna vs Inter?
Our top pick is Inter to win at odds of 1.65, rated 61% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 57% for this match.
When does Bologna vs Inter kick off?
Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UTC.