Serie A · ItalySun 25 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Atalanta

LDDLW

Full time4–4

Frosinone

WWDWL

Sure pickOver 2.5 goals

Odds1.41How over/under goals works →

Win probability

50%Atalanta

24%Draw

26%Frosinone

Markets

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Under 2.5 goals31%

Both teams score (GG)53%

Double chance 1X74%

Key factors

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Fixture congestion · Atalanta
Atalanta lost in Amsterdam on Thursday night in the Conference League; Sarri said only about fifty hours remain between the squad's return to Bergamo and the Frosinone kickoff.
ATA
●
Key defender out · Atalanta
Sarri said four central defenders were missing at Ajax, with Kolasinac, Hien, Kossounou and Scalvini all injured. Half weight: several of these absences are long known.
ATA
▼
Kolasinac doubtful
Kolasinac faces the same Saturday deadline as Kessié to rejoin the group before the Monza game.
ATA
▼
Kessié doubtful
Kessié is still being assessed; Sarri said he would need to rejoin the group by Saturday to be considered for Monza.
ATA
▲
Oyono resumes his place at right-back.
Oyono resumes his place at right-back.
FRO
▲
Scamacca is available again and is set to travel to Monza after his thigh complaint.
Scamacca is available again and is set to travel to Monza after his thigh complaint.
ATA
▼
After the 3-0 home loss to Parma, Giuntoli confirmed Sarri but said everyone is under review, and the squad was sent into a training retreat.
After the 3-0 home loss to Parma, Giuntoli confirmed Sarri but said everyone is under review, and the squad was sent into a training retreat.
ATA
▼
Raimondo out
Multi-ligament left ankle injury; out for at least five to six weeks.
FRO

Preview

Atalanta are in a rough patch. They sit 11th on 9 points with form of LWLLL, lost 3-2 at Milan last weekend and then went down 2-0 at Ajax on Thursday. Sarri said four central defenders were missing in Amsterdam: Kolasinac, Hien, Kossounou and Scalvini. Sky's absentee list for this round still has all four out, plus Kessie and Raspadori. With only about fifty hours between the return from Amsterdam and kickoff, legs are a worry too. Frosinone arrive sixth on 13 points with form of WLWDW. Their only listed absentee is Grillitsch, so the attack is at full strength. Atalanta average 1.75 goals scored per home game; Frosinone score 1.33 per away game. The market still makes Atalanta favourites, but a patched-up back line against a confident visiting attack points to goals. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, though those games are years old. We trim Atalanta's win to 50% and rate over 2.5 goals at 69%.

Our verdict

A tired Atalanta side missing four centre-backs faces an in-form Frosinone attack. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%.

Head to head

2024-01-15Atalanta 5–0 FrosinoneSerie A
2023-08-26Frosinone 2–1 AtalantaSerie A
2019-01-20Frosinone 0–5 AtalantaSerie A
2018-08-20Atalanta 4–0 FrosinoneSerie A
2016-01-23Frosinone 0–0 AtalantaSerie A

FAQ

Who is missing for Atalanta against Frosinone?

Sky lists Kolasinac, Scalvini, Kossounou, Hien, Kessie, Raspadori and Sulemana as unavailable. That includes four central defenders.

Is Frosinone's squad fit?

Mostly. Sky lists only midfielder Grillitsch as unavailable for this game.

What is the SureTips pick for Atalanta vs Frosinone?

Over 2.5 goals, which we rate at 69%, priced at 1.41 at the time of publishing. No bet is sure, so stake responsibly.

What is the best bet for Atalanta vs Frosinone?

Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.41, rated 69% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 69% for this match.

When does Atalanta vs Frosinone kick off?

Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UTC.