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La Liga · Spain
VS
66%
confidence
Getafe crest

Getafe

WLDLW
Sure pickVillarreal to win
Odds1.50How to read odds and probabilities →

Win probability

66%Villarreal
23%Draw
12%Getafe

Markets

Over 2.5 goals53%
Under 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score (GG)29%
Double chance 1X89%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Starter out · Villarreal

    Juan Foyth is doubtful with muscle discomfort. A doubt counts at half weight.

    VIL
  • ▼
    Fixture congestion · Getafe

    Getafe played Sevilla on 1 November and Brighton on Thursday 5 November, so this is a third match in eight days. Bordalás said his players were visibly tired after the 70th minute.

    GET
  • ▼
    After losing to Brighton, Bordalás said his players faded badly from about the 70th minute and that he would try to recover them; Villarreal are next.

    After losing to Brighton, Bordalás said his players faded badly from about the 70th minute and that he would try to recover them; Villarreal are next.

    GET
  • ▼
    Íñigo Pérez is under real pressure after the record 6-0 home defeat by PSG followed a loss to Espanyol, with Marca reporting the club weighing his future before Getafe.

    Íñigo Pérez is under real pressure after the record 6-0 home defeat by PSG followed a loss to Espanyol, with Marca reporting the club weighing his future before Getafe.

    VIL
  • ▲
    Djene is available again after a suspension, and Orel Mangala returns after playing in the cup. Bordalas said the team 'hit rock bottom' in the loss at San Mames.

    Djene is available again after a suspension, and Orel Mangala returns after playing in the cup. Bordalas said the team 'hit rock bottom' in the loss at San Mames.

    GET
  • ▼
    Mario Martin suspended

    Getafe are without two suspended players against Sevilla: Mario Martin (straight red at San Mames) and Johan Mojica (five yellow cards).

    GET
  • ▲
    Mangala returned from a three-week muscle injury in the cup win at Lebrijana and scored the winner after coming on at half-time.

    Mangala returned from a three-week muscle injury in the cup win at Lebrijana and scored the winner after coming on at half-time.

    GET
  • ▼
    Johan Mojica suspended

    Mojica was handed a one-match ban for yellow-card accumulation.

    GET

Preview

Villarreal need this, and the matchup helps them. Getafe have not scored in an away league game this season and concede 2.4 a game on the road. They also lost 1-0 to Brighton on Thursday, making this a third match in eight days, and José Bordalás said his players were visibly tired after the 70th minute. Villarreal have troubles of their own. PSG beat them 6-0 on Tuesday, their heaviest European defeat, after a league loss to Espanyol. Reports say Íñigo Pérez's future is at risk if they fail to win. Home form is poor too, with four points from 15. Gerard Moreno, Juan Foyth and Ilias Akhomach are doubts with muscle problems. The head-to-head is close: Villarreal have two wins, two draws and a defeat in the last five, with 12 goals in all, and Getafe won the latest 2-1. We trim Villarreal for the doubts, add a little back for Getafe's legs, and rate the home win at 65.6%. The price is slightly short, but no other selection comes close.

Our verdict

Getafe have no away league goals this season and arrive on a third match in eight days. We rate the Villarreal win at 65.6%, even after a 6-0 home defeat by PSG.

Head to head

  • 2026-02-14Getafe 2–1 VillarrealLa Liga
  • 2025-12-06Villarreal 2–0 GetafeLa Liga
  • 2025-03-30Getafe 1–2 VillarrealLa Liga
  • 2024-10-20Villarreal 1–1 GetafeLa Liga
  • 2024-02-16Villarreal 1–1 GetafeLa Liga

FAQ

What is the pick for Villarreal v Getafe?

Villarreal to win at 65.6%. Getafe have not scored away in the league this season.

Who is doubtful for Villarreal?

Gerard Moreno, Juan Foyth and Ilias Akhomach are doubts with muscle discomfort.

Is Íñigo Pérez under pressure?

Yes. The 6-0 home defeat by PSG followed a league loss to Espanyol, and reports say his future is at risk if Villarreal fail to win.

What is the best bet for Villarreal vs Getafe?

Our top pick is Villarreal to win at odds of 1.50, rated 66% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 53% for this match.

When does Villarreal vs Getafe kick off?

Sun 08 Nov, 17:30 UTC.