Win probability
24%Atletico Madrid
24%Draw
52%Barcelona
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Under 2.5 goals26%
Both teams score (GG)70%
Double chance X276%
Key factors
- ▼Key player out · Atletico MadridATM
Centre-back Romero did not train on Sunday, Monday or Thursday this week, was left out against Bayern and will miss Barcelona. This week's setback is recent, so he counts above half weight but below the full cap.
- ▼Starter out · BarcelonaBAR
Barcelona confirmed a minor right hamstring injury to Rodri on 4 November after he came off at half-time against Aston Villa. He misses Sunday. Fresh news, so full weight.
- ●Key defender out · Atletico MadridATM
Centre-back Romero will miss Barcelona after a setback this week, weakening Atletico at the back. Counted below the full cap.
- ▼Cuti Romero outATM
Centre-back Cuti Romero's muscle problem rules him out against Barcelona after he also missed Levante and Bayern; he drops out of Argentina's squad and should be back after the break.
- ▲Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.BAR
Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.
- ▼Rodri outBAR
Minor right hamstring injury confirmed by club tests; ruled out of the trip to Atletico, with the home game against Villarreal on 22 Nov his next possible return.
- ▲Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.BAR
Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.
- ▼Rodri doubtfulBAR
Rodri was replaced with discomfort in the 3-0 win over Aston Villa; Flick said tests are due Thursday, ahead of Sunday at Atlético Madrid.
Preview
First meets second at the Metropolitano. Barcelona lead LaLiga with 30 points from 11 games, two clear of Atletico, who have won seven league games in a row. Atletico did lose to Bayern on Tuesday, while Barcelona beat Aston Villa 3-0 the same night. Both sides have holes. Cuti Romero misses out for Atletico after failing to train this week, and that matters against a side averaging 4.4 goals a game away from home. Atletico do get help in midfield. Koke is back, Hjulmand is available after his European ban and Cardoso should be fit. Barcelona lose Rodri to a minor hamstring injury. Dani Olmo and Xavi Espart are also out, and Kounde has not returned to full training. Eric Garcia and Andreas Christensen trained on Wednesday, so the back line may be improving. Those losses roughly cancel out in the result market, leaving Barcelona at 52.2%, just short of a pick. Goals are the clearer read. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5 goals, and Romero's absence lifts our number to 73.9%.
Over 2.5 goals is the pick at 73.9%, with odds of 1.32. Four of the last five meetings cleared the line, and Atletico are without Romero against a side averaging 4.4 goals away.
Head to head
- 2026-04-14Atletico Madrid 1–2 BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
- 2026-04-08Barcelona 0–2 Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
- 2026-04-04Atletico Madrid 1–2 BarcelonaLa Liga
- 2026-03-03Barcelona 3–0 Atletico MadridCopa del Rey
- 2026-02-12Atletico Madrid 4–0 BarcelonaCopa del Rey
FAQ
Is Rodri playing for Barcelona at Atletico?
No. Barcelona confirmed a minor right hamstring injury and he misses the trip.
Is Cuti Romero fit for Atletico?
No. He did not train on Sunday, Monday or Thursday this week and will miss the game.
How many of the last five Atletico v Barcelona games went over 2.5 goals?
Four of the five, with 15 goals in total. Both teams scored in only two of them.
What is the best bet for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.32, rated 74% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 74% for this match.
When does Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona kick off?
Sun 08 Nov, 20:00 UTC.