Win probability
49%Celta Vigo
27%Draw
24%Levante
La Liga · Spain
Market view: probabilities from 21 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one. How we make predictions.
Markets
Over 2.5 goals49%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score (GG)36%
Double chance 1X76%
Key factors
- ▼Key player out · Celta VigoCEL
Striker Borja Iglesias tore his left soleus in training, and Celta estimated about six weeks out in their report of 16 October. Known for more than 14 days, so half weight.
- ▼Conditions · Celta VigoCEL
Celta played Union Saint-Gilloise on Thursday, three days before this game, and lost 1-2.
- ▼Starter out · LevanteLEV
Left-back Manu Sánchez started every match until Atlético but has a minor right hamstring injury, and Luís Castro called him very doubtful for Balaídos. A doubt counts at half weight.
- ●Key attacker out · Celta VigoCEL
Striker Borja Iglesias is still injured and missed Thursday's game against Union Saint-Gilloise. Long-known absence, half weight.
- ▲Hugo González, substituted against Rayo with physical discomfort, has no injury and was named in the Europa League squad to face Union Saint-Gilloise.CEL
Hugo González, substituted against Rayo with physical discomfort, has no injury and was named in the Europa League squad to face Union Saint-Gilloise.
- ▼Manu Sánchez outLEV
Left-back Manu Sánchez has a mild hamstring injury and looks short for Celta; he is likely to use the break to recover, with Nacho Pérez covering last time out.
- ▼Jones El-Abdellaoui outCEL
Jones El-Abdellaoui remains sidelined after knee arthroscopy and was ruled out of the Betis game.
- ▼Giráldez left Marcos Alonso, Jutglà, Febas, Javi Rueda and Hugo Álvarez out of Celta's 23-man squad for the Copa tie at Salamanca, while Aspas and Cáceres were included.CEL
Giráldez left Marcos Alonso, Jutglà, Febas, Javi Rueda and Hugo Álvarez out of Celta's 23-man squad for the Copa tie at Salamanca, while Aspas and Cáceres were included.
Preview
Celta are the favourites, but not by enough to back. They lost 1-2 at home to Union Saint-Gilloise on Thursday, after a 3-0 defeat at Rayo. They had the better of the chances against the Belgians and could not finish them. That game came three days before this one. Levante have had a long rest since losing to Atlético on 31 October, because their Copa tie moved to 12 November. Celta are also missing striker Borja Iglesias, and the Vigo side's infirmary list after Rayo was long. Levante have worries too. They have lost two in a row and score just 0.5 a game away. Left-back Manu Sánchez is very doubtful with a hamstring problem, while Enzo Bardeli has only partly rejoined training. Celta score 1.5 a game at home and concede 1. The head-to-head offers no pattern: over 2.5 landed in two of the last five, and Levante won 3-2 here in May. We rate Celta at 49.0% and under 2.5 at 51.2%. Neither reaches our 55% bar, so we pass.
Celta's Thursday game and Levante's long rest narrow the gap. We rate Celta at 49.0% and see no pick that clears our 55% minimum.
Head to head
- 2026-05-12Celta Vigo 2–3 LevanteLa Liga
- 2025-11-02Levante 1–2 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 2022-02-21Celta Vigo 1–1 LevanteLa Liga
- 2021-09-21Levante 0–2 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 2021-04-30Celta Vigo 2–0 LevanteLa Liga
FAQ
Is there a pick for Celta Vigo v Levante?
No. Celta win is 49.0% and under 2.5 goals is 51.2%, both below our 55% minimum.
Who is missing for Celta?
Borja Iglesias is injured and missed Thursday's Europa League game.
Who is doubtful for Levante?
Manu Sánchez has a hamstring problem and Luís Castro called him very doubtful. Enzo Bardeli has only partly rejoined training.
What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Levante?
The market favourite is Celta Vigo to win at odds of 1.95, rated 51% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 49% for this match.
When does Celta Vigo vs Levante kick off?
Sun 08 Nov, 17:30 UTC.