Win probability
50%Sevilla
28%Draw
23%Osasuna
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals44%
Under 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score (GG)75%
Double chance 1X78%
Key factors
- ▼Aimar outOSA
Aimar remains sidelined and is not in the squad for Athletic.
- ▼Manu Bueno suspendedSEV
Midfielder Manu Bueno is left out of Friday's squad against Alavés, serving a ban for his late red card in the defeat at Getafe.
- ▼Del Castillo outOSA
Del Castillo, Herrando and Aimar continued their injury rehab and were not in normal training ahead of the trip to Deportivo.
- ▼Kike Salas, Gabriel Suazo, Lucien Agoumé and Lucas Stassin were rested for the Copa tie to be fresh for Sunday's league game against Getafe.SEV
Kike Salas, Gabriel Suazo, Lucien Agoumé and Lucas Stassin were rested for the Copa tie to be fresh for Sunday's league game against Getafe.
- ▲Jon Guridi came off the bench in the 3-0 Copa win at Sporting de Hortaleza, returning from his adductor injury ahead of schedule.SEV
Jon Guridi came off the bench in the 3-0 Copa win at Sporting de Hortaleza, returning from his adductor injury ahead of schedule.
- ▼Regular starters Moncayola, Moi Gómez, Rosier, Boyomo and Catena are absent from Osasuna's Copa squad, which is not explained by injury, so they look rested for the league; Herrando, Aimar Oroz and Del Castillo remain medical absentees.OSA
Regular starters Moncayola, Moi Gómez, Rosier, Boyomo and Catena are absent from Osasuna's Copa squad, which is not explained by injury, so they look rested for the league; Herrando, Aimar Oroz and Del Castillo remain medical absentees.
Preview
Sevilla host Osasuna on Monday night needing a response after a 4-1 defeat at Real Madrid. Giorgi Kochorashvili, rested at the Bernabéu with a soleus overload, is expected straight back in midfield, and Isaac Romero returns from suspension. Lucas Stassin's place is less certain after an interrupted training week, while Jon Guridi, Marcao and Miguel Sierra are confirmed absentees. Osasuna arrive after beating Racing 2-0 at home in Jagoba Arrasate's first game back in charge. They travel without Jorge Herrando, Aimar Oroz and Romain Del Castillo, who were all still working through their recoveries in Friday's and Saturday's sessions at Tajonar, which takes creativity out of their midfield. The last five meetings have been tight: four of them produced two goals or fewer, and the other ended 2-1, so none went past three goals. The market makes Sevilla favourites at about 50%, short of our bar for a result pick. We found no team news strong enough to move the market numbers, and the strongest qualifying outcome is under 2.5 goals at 55.7%.
A tight one between a Sevilla side looking to bounce back and an Osasuna team short of creators. Under 2.5 goals is our pick at 55.7%.
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Osasuna 2–1 SevillaLa Liga
- 2025-11-08Sevilla 1–0 OsasunaLa Liga
- 2025-04-24Osasuna 1–0 SevillaLa Liga
- 2024-12-02Sevilla 1–1 OsasunaLa Liga
- 2024-01-28Sevilla 1–1 OsasunaLa Liga
FAQ
Who is missing for Sevilla against Osasuna?
Jon Guridi, Marcao and Miguel Sierra are out. Kochorashvili is expected to return, Isaac Romero is back from suspension and Lucas Stassin is a doubt.
Who is missing for Osasuna?
Jorge Herrando, Aimar Oroz and Romain Del Castillo were still recovering in the club's last training reports before the trip.
How have recent Sevilla vs Osasuna games gone?
Four of the last five meetings ended with two goals or fewer; the other finished 2-1.
What is the best bet for Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Our top pick is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.79, rated 56% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 44% for this match.
When does Sevilla vs Osasuna kick off?
Mon 26 Oct, 20:00 UTC.