Win probability
48%Sevilla
28%Draw
23%Alaves
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals42%
Under 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score (GG)53%
Double chance 1X76%
Key factors
- ▼Starter out · SevillaSEV
Forward Isaac Romero is still working apart from the group with a left knee contusion two days out and is a doubt, so half weight.
- ●Key attacker out · SevillaSEV
Forward Isaac Romero is a doubt with a left knee contusion and still apart from the group, so a reduced weight.
- ▼Manu Bueno suspendedSEV
Midfielder Manu Bueno is left out of Friday's squad against Alavés, serving a ban for his late red card in the defeat at Getafe.
- ▼Sánchez Flores said his XI at Camp Nou would have been the same even if the postponed cup tie had gone ahead, and that striker Toni Martínez improves daily.ALA
Sánchez Flores said his XI at Camp Nou would have been the same even if the postponed cup tie had gone ahead, and that striker Toni Martínez improves daily.
- ▼Kike Salas, Gabriel Suazo, Lucien Agoumé and Lucas Stassin were rested for the Copa tie to be fresh for Sunday's league game against Getafe.SEV
Kike Salas, Gabriel Suazo, Lucien Agoumé and Lucas Stassin were rested for the Copa tie to be fresh for Sunday's league game against Getafe.
- ▲Jon Guridi came off the bench in the 3-0 Copa win at Sporting de Hortaleza, returning from his adductor injury ahead of schedule.SEV
Jon Guridi came off the bench in the 3-0 Copa win at Sporting de Hortaleza, returning from his adductor injury ahead of schedule.
- ▼Mikel Rodríguez outALA
Mikel Rodríguez remains out with a serious knee injury; otherwise Quique Sánchez Flores has his first-choice XI available.
- ▲Isaac Romero is available again against Osasuna after serving his suspension in the Real Madrid game.SEV
Isaac Romero is available again against Osasuna after serving his suspension in the Real Madrid game.
Preview
This match may not go ahead on Friday. After the death of Tenerife player Jesús de Miguel, the players' union asked for this week's games in Spain to be suspended, and LaLiga is studying a postponement of round 12. No decision had been announced on 4 November. If it is played, Sevilla are sixth on 17 points but lost 3-1 at Getafe last time, after leading at half-time and finishing with ten men. Manu Bueno is suspended, Peque has a hamstring injury and Isaac Romero is a doubt with a left knee contusion. Kike Salas is back with the group. Alaves are 11th on 12 points and arrive from a 6-1 defeat at Barcelona. Away from home they score just 0.8 a game. Totals in the last five meetings were 2, 1, 3, 2 and 3, so three of the five stayed under 2.5. Our numbers rate under 2.5 goals at 58%, Sevilla at 48%, the draw at 28% and Alaves at 23%. We hold off on a pick until the fixture is confirmed.
With LaLiga still deciding whether round 12 goes ahead, we publish no pick. If it is played, the numbers lean to a low-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals at 58%.
Head to head
- 2026-02-14Sevilla 1–1 AlavesLa Liga
- 2025-12-17Alaves 1–0 SevillaCopa del Rey
- 2025-09-20Alaves 1–2 SevillaLa Liga
- 2025-04-20Sevilla 1–1 AlavesLa Liga
- 2024-09-20Alaves 2–1 SevillaLa Liga
FAQ
Will Sevilla v Alaves be played?
It is not confirmed. LaLiga is studying a postponement of round 12 and had not announced a decision on 4 November.
Is Isaac Romero fit for Sevilla?
He is a doubt. He has a left knee contusion from the Getafe game and is working apart from the group.
How many goals do these two usually score?
The last five meetings had 2, 1, 3, 2 and 3 goals, so three of the five stayed under 2.5.
What is the best bet for Sevilla vs Alaves?
The market favourite is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.74, rated 56% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 42% for this match.
When does Sevilla vs Alaves kick off?
Fri 06 Nov, 20:00 UTC.