Win probability
58%Real Sociedad
23%Draw
20%Levante
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score (GG)39%
Double chance 1X81%
Key factors
- ▼Fixture congestion · Real SociedadRSO
Real Sociedad played a Thursday Europa League away game in Norway and only flew back from Oslo on Friday, leaving two days before Sunday's league game.
- ▼Manu Sánchez outLEV
Left-back Manu Sánchez has a mild hamstring injury and looks short for Celta; he is likely to use the break to recover, with Nacho Pérez covering last time out.
- ▼Mikel Oyarzabal doubtfulRSO
Oyarzabal ended the Lyon game with back pain after a heavy knock, and Matarazzo could not say if Carlos Soler, out with a stomach bug, will recover for Rayo.
- ▼Mamadou Sarr doubtfulRSO
Centre-back Sarr went off at half-time against Lyon with soleus discomfort and is a concern for Sunday's game with Rayo.
- ▼Matarazzo said his side will need a complete, top-level performance to win at San Mamés and welcomed having several players pushing to fill Zakharyan's spot.RSO
Matarazzo said his side will need a complete, top-level performance to win at San Mamés and welcomed having several players pushing to fill Zakharyan's spot.
- ▼Arsen Zakharyan outRSO
Matarazzo ruled Zakharyan out of Sunday's derby at San Mamés after he turned his ankle in training this week; the club hopes to have him back for the European game against Lyon.
- ▲Arsen Zakharyan is back in the squad after injury; Matarazzo said he feels much better.RSO
Arsen Zakharyan is back in the squad after injury; Matarazzo said he feels much better.
Preview
Real Sociedad arrive in scoring mood. They sit fifth on 16 points, and the club called Thursday's Europa League win in Norway a historic night that matched their biggest winning margin in Europe. The catch is the calendar: the squad only flew back from Oslo on Friday, so we trim the home win to 58%. Levante come in lifted by a 3-1 home win over Athletic Club on Wednesday, a third straight game without defeat. Away from home they have been far quieter, averaging 0.4 goals per away game, but they concede 1.4 per away game. Levante travel without Enzo Bardeli (injured) and Dela (physical discomfort), while Etta Eyong is back in the squad. Real Sociedad list Aramburu, Beitia and Odriozola as injured, with Yangel Herrera doubtful. History leans tight: four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals, though three of those date back to 2021-22. The bookmakers still price over 2.5 at 60%, and with both sides scoring freely lately, that is our pick.
Over 2.5 goals is our pick at 60%. Real Sociedad are the stronger side, but the short turnaround from Norway keeps us off the home win.
Head to head
- 2026-04-04Real Sociedad 2–0 LevanteLa Liga
- 2025-12-20Levante 1–1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 2022-05-06Levante 2–1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 2021-08-28Real Sociedad 1–0 LevanteLa Liga
- 2021-03-07Real Sociedad 1–0 LevanteLa Liga
FAQ
Who is missing for Levante at Anoeta?
Enzo Bardeli (injury) and Dela (physical discomfort) are left out of Levante's squad; Etta Eyong is included.
What is the recent head-to-head?
Real Sociedad won three of the last five meetings, drew one and lost one. Four of those five games had fewer than three goals.
Why not back the Real Sociedad win?
They played in Norway on Thursday and flew back Friday. We rate the home win at 58%, below the price that would make it the stronger pick.
What is the best bet for Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.64, rated 60% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 60% for this match.
When does Real Sociedad vs Levante kick off?
Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 UTC.