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La Liga · Spain
Full time4–1
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Sevilla

DLWLD
Market favouriteOver 2.5 goals
Odds1.42How over/under goals works →

Win probability

78%Real Madrid
14%Draw
8%Sevilla

Markets

Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals33%
Double chance 1X92%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Ferland Mendy out

    Mendy is out with a hip injury.

    REA
  • ▼
    Manu Bueno suspended

    Midfielder Manu Bueno is left out of Friday's squad against Alavés, serving a ban for his late red card in the defeat at Getafe.

    SEV
  • ▼
    Tchouaméni doubtful

    Tchouaméni, also absent from the Athens trip, trained alone on Thursday two days before Mestalla, while Güler was back in normal group work.

    REA
  • ▼
    Federico Valverde out

    Valverde left the Clasico with discomfort in his right leg and trained alone all week. Scans ruled out an injury, but he was left out of the squad for Racing as a precaution.

    REA
  • ▲
    Courtois is back in the squad after flu kept him out of the Clasico. Eder Militao, who returned against Sevilla, could also start. Asencio, Rodrygo and Mendy remain out.

    Courtois is back in the squad after flu kept him out of the Clasico. Eder Militao, who returned against Sevilla, could also start. Asencio, Rodrygo and Mendy remain out.

    REA
  • ▼
    Arda Güler skipped group training after 94 minutes in the Clásico and did gym and specific work instead; it looks like load management, not an injury.

    Arda Güler skipped group training after 94 minutes in the Clásico and did gym and specific work instead; it looks like load management, not an injury.

    REA

Head to head

  • 2026-05-17Sevilla 0–1 Real MadridLa Liga
  • 2025-12-20Real Madrid 2–0 SevillaLa Liga
  • 2025-05-18Sevilla 0–2 Real MadridLa Liga
  • 2024-12-22Real Madrid 4–2 SevillaLa Liga
  • 2024-02-25Real Madrid 1–0 SevillaLa Liga

FAQ

What is the best bet for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.42, rated 67% by the market. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 67% for this match.

When does Real Madrid vs Sevilla kick off?

Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 UTC.