Win probability
37%Rayo Vallecano
30%Draw
32%Celta Vigo
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals45%
Under 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score (GG)26%
Double chance 1X67%
Key factors
- ▼Conditions · Rayo VallecanoRAY
Rayo needed 120 minutes to win 3-2 at Recreativo in Huelva in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, four days before this game.
- ▼Starter out · Rayo VallecanoRAY
Midfielder Pathé Ciss has been handed a one-match ban for yellow-card accumulation.
- ▲Hugo González, substituted against Rayo with physical discomfort, has no injury and was named in the Europa League squad to face Union Saint-Gilloise.CEL
Hugo González, substituted against Rayo with physical discomfort, has no injury and was named in the Europa League squad to face Union Saint-Gilloise.
- ▼Álvaro García outRAY
Winger Álvaro García, with three league goals, has a hamstring fibre tear from the Celta game and faces about a month out.
- ▼Óscar Valentín doubtfulRAY
Captain Óscar Valentín avoided an ACL tear, with tests showing a right knee contusion from the Celta game; his place at Real Sociedad depends on how the pain settles.
- ▼Jones El-Abdellaoui outCEL
Jones El-Abdellaoui remains sidelined after knee arthroscopy and was ruled out of the Betis game.
- ▼Sergio Camello doubtfulRAY
Sergio Camello is carrying a physical problem that could open the door for Alemao, who scored twice in the Copa win at Recreativo, to start against Celta.
- ▼Giráldez left Marcos Alonso, Jutglà, Febas, Javi Rueda and Hugo Álvarez out of Celta's 23-man squad for the Copa tie at Salamanca, while Aspas and Cáceres were included.CEL
Giráldez left Marcos Alonso, Jutglà, Febas, Javi Rueda and Hugo Álvarez out of Celta's 23-man squad for the Copa tie at Salamanca, while Aspas and Cáceres were included.
Preview
Rayo Vallecano sit 16th with nine points and have been leaky, conceding 1.75 goals per home game. They needed extra time on Tuesday to get past ten-man Recreativo 3-2 in the Copa del Rey in Huelva, and Pathé Ciss now serves a one-match ban for yellow cards. Centre-back Luiz Felipe is out for the season with a cruciate ligament tear. Celta are ninth on 12 points and are the draw specialists of the league, with six in ten games. They have conceded just 0.25 goals per away game, but they also score only 0.25 away from home. Striker Borja Iglesias is out with a calf muscle tear and centre-back Carl Starfelt with a thigh injury. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5 goals, so there is no clear pattern. We rate Rayo at 37%, Celta at 32% and the draw at 30%. Under 2.5 goals sits at 55%, right on our line with no edge, so we sit this one out.
A tired Rayo side against a Celta team that rarely loses or concedes away. Nothing clears our bar, so no pick.
Head to head
- 2026-01-18Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- 2025-09-21Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 2025-05-18Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- 2025-01-10Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 2024-03-31Celta Vigo 0–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
FAQ
Why is there no pick for Rayo vs Celta?
No outcome is clear enough. Rayo are at 37% on our numbers and under 2.5 goals sits right on our 55% line without enough support.
Who is missing?
Rayo lose Pathé Ciss to a ban and Luiz Felipe to a knee injury. Celta are without Borja Iglesias, Carl Starfelt and Álvaro Núñez.
What is the best bet for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
The market favourite is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, rated 55% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 45% for this match.
When does Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo kick off?
Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC.