Win probability
8%Racing Santander
14%Draw
78%Real Madrid
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Under 2.5 goals23%
Both teams score (GG)69%
Double chance X292%
Key factors
- ▼Key player out · Real MadridREA
Vinicius Junior is suspended for this league game. The four-match domestic ban was reported on 15 October, so the absence is long known and counted at half weight.
- ▼Starter out · Racing SantanderSAN
Left-back Jorge Salinas, described as practically a fixed starter, picked up his fifth yellow card against Espanyol and is suspended for the visit of Real Madrid.
- ●Key attacker out · Real MadridREA
Real Madrid train without a suspended Vinicius for Sunday; the ban has been known since mid-October, so the attacking loss counts at half weight.
- ▼Ferland Mendy outREA
Mendy is out with a hip injury.
- ▼Andrés Martín outSAN
Tests confirmed a fibre tear in Andrés Martín's left hamstring; the club gives no timeline, saying his absence depends on how the injury evolves.
- ▼Maguette Gueye doubtfulSAN
Midfielder Maguette Gueye left Wednesday's session with right hamstring discomfort, sat out Thursday and is a doubt for Málaga.
- ▼Álvaro Mantilla outSAN
Racing captain and first-choice right-back Mantilla tore his right ACL against Real Madrid, needs surgery and could miss the rest of the season; the club plans to replace him in January.
- ▼Tchouaméni doubtfulREA
Tchouaméni, also absent from the Athens trip, trained alone on Thursday two days before Mestalla, while Güler was back in normal group work.
Preview
Real Madrid travel to El Sardinero third in La Liga with 24 points from 10 games, eight wins and two defeats, fresh from a 2-1 Clasico win. Vinicius Junior is suspended for this league game and Rodrygo is still injured, so Mourinho is without two attackers. Courtois has recovered from the flu that kept him out of the Clasico. Valverde and Arda Guler worked in the gym on Wednesday, Valverde as a precaution after he was replaced at Camp Nou. Racing sit 13th on 11 points but score 2.2 goals a game at home. Jose Alberto used players with fewer league minutes in Thursday's 2-0 Copa del Rey win at Ribadesella, so his regulars come in rested. Left-back Jorge Salinas is suspended after his fifth booking. The last four league meetings, all from 2010 to 2012, brought three Madrid wins and a 0-0 draw in Santander. The market rates Madrid's win at 79%, and we put it at 78% after the Vinicius ban. That is clear, but the price is too short for a pick.
Real Madrid are strong favourites even without Vinicius, and we rate the away win at 78%. The price is too short to back, so this match has no main pick.
Head to head
- 2012-02-18Real Madrid 4–0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- 2011-09-21Racing Santander 0–0 Real MadridLa Liga
- 2011-03-06Racing Santander 1–3 Real MadridLa Liga
- 2010-10-23Real Madrid 6–1 Racing SantanderLa Liga
FAQ
Who is missing for Real Madrid at Racing?
Vinicius Junior is suspended and Rodrygo and Raul Asencio are injured. Courtois is back from illness. Valverde and Arda Guler worked in the gym after the Clasico, Valverde as a precaution.
Is Racing Santander's squad fresh?
Mostly, yes. Racing used players with fewer league minutes in Thursday's 2-0 Copa del Rey win at Ribadesella. Left-back Jorge Salinas is suspended after his fifth yellow card.
Why is there no pick on this match?
We rate Madrid's win at 78%, but the 1.25 price is below our 1.30 minimum. The goals lines we track either fall short of 55% or carry a negative edge.
What is the best bet for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
The market favourite is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.57, rated 61% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 77% for this match.
When does Racing Santander vs Real Madrid kick off?
Sun 01 Nov, 15:15 UTC.