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La Liga · Spain
Osasuna crest

Osasuna

LLWLD
VS
57%
confidence
Sure pickUnder 2.5 goals
Odds1.81How over/under goals works →

Win probability

27%Osasuna
30%Draw
43%Athletic Club

Markets

Over 2.5 goals43%
Under 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score (GG)26%
Double chance X273%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Key player out · Athletic Club

    Half weight for Guruzeta, whose torn left ACL has been known for about 17 days and rules him out for the season.

    BIL
  • ▼
    Starter out · Athletic Club

    Sannadi has a moderate-severe muscle injury from the derby and is out for several weeks. Fresh news.

    BIL
  • ▼
    Key player out · Osasuna

    Aimar was still in recovery on Wednesday, with Del Castillo and Herrando also absent from normal training.

    OSA
  • ●
    Key attacker out · Athletic Club

    Guruzeta and Sannadi are both out, and Hierro's injury leaves Terzic with Txus Vizcay of the reserves as the named striker alternative.

    BIL
  • ▼
    Aimar out

    Aimar remains sidelined and is not in the squad for Athletic.

    OSA
  • ▼
    Maroan out

    Maroan has a moderate-to-severe left hamstring injury from the derby; the expected six to eight weeks could end his 2026, leaving Iñaki Williams the only natural forward.

    BIL
  • ▼
    Del Castillo out

    Del Castillo, Herrando and Aimar continued their injury rehab and were not in normal training ahead of the trip to Deportivo.

    OSA
  • ▲
    Coach Edin Terzic said Djalo is available to train and play again after a medical problem following international duty, with a gradual return to match rhythm.

    Coach Edin Terzic said Djalo is available to train and play again after a medical problem following international duty, with a gradual return to match rhythm.

    BIL

Preview

Strikers are the story at El Sadar. Athletic have lost Guruzeta to a torn ACL for the season and Sannadi to a muscle injury for several weeks, and Hierro's injury leaves Terzic looking at reserve-team forward Txus Vizcay as the alternative. That is a thin front line for a side that scores just 0.75 a game away. Osasuna are not built for a shootout either. They score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game at home, and Aimar, Del Castillo and Herrando were still in recovery on Wednesday. Arrasate wants more solidity away after a painful 2-1 defeat at Deportivo. Athletic beat Real Sociedad 2-1 last time, and Galarreta looks set to return. Several players, including Nico Williams, did not train on the grass on Wednesday, with no reason given, so watch the squad list. The last five meetings produced 11 goals and two overs. We rate under 2.5 at 57.2%, against a fair market number of 54.2%.

Our verdict

Athletic are short of strikers and Osasuna's home games stay low-scoring. We rate under 2.5 goals at 57.2%.

Head to head

  • 2026-04-21Athletic Club 1–0 OsasunaLa Liga
  • 2026-01-03Osasuna 1–1 Athletic ClubLa Liga
  • 2025-03-30Athletic Club 0–0 OsasunaLa Liga
  • 2025-01-16Athletic Club 2–3 OsasunaCopa del Rey
  • 2024-12-21Osasuna 1–2 Athletic ClubLa Liga

FAQ

What is the pick for Osasuna v Athletic Club?

Under 2.5 goals at 57.2%.

Why are Athletic short up front?

Guruzeta and Sannadi are injured, and Hierro of the reserve team is out as well.

What is the best bet for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

Our top pick is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, rated 57% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 43% for this match.

When does Osasuna vs Athletic Club kick off?

Sat 07 Nov, 17:30 UTC.