La Liga · SpainMon 19 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Getafe

WLDLW

Full time1–1

Rayo Vallecano

WLDDW

Sure pickUnder 2.5 goals

Odds1.54How over/under goals works →

Win probability

33%Getafe

33%Draw

35%Rayo Vallecano

Markets

Over 1.5 goals60%

Over 2.5 goals34%

Under 2.5 goals66%

Both teams score (GG)46%

Double chance X268%

Key factors

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Starter out · Rayo Vallecano
Rayo right-back Andrei Ratiu is ruled out with a muscle injury; Ivan Balliu is expected to replace him.
RAY
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Cagey contest · Both teams
Madrid derby between two sides in the lower half; all of the last five meetings stayed under 2.5 goals (5 goals in total).
Both
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Óscar Valentín doubtful
Captain Óscar Valentín avoided an ACL tear, with tests showing a right knee contusion from the Celta game; his place at Real Sociedad depends on how the pain settles.
RAY
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After losing to Brighton, Bordalás said his players faded badly from about the 70th minute and that he would try to recover them; Villarreal are next.
After losing to Brighton, Bordalás said his players faded badly from about the 70th minute and that he would try to recover them; Villarreal are next.
GET
▼
Álvaro García out
Winger Álvaro García, with three league goals, has a hamstring fibre tear from the Celta game and faces about a month out.
RAY
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Djene is available again after a suspension, and Orel Mangala returns after playing in the cup. Bordalas said the team 'hit rock bottom' in the loss at San Mames.
Djene is available again after a suspension, and Orel Mangala returns after playing in the cup. Bordalas said the team 'hit rock bottom' in the loss at San Mames.
GET
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Mario Martin suspended
Getafe are without two suspended players against Sevilla: Mario Martin (straight red at San Mames) and Johan Mojica (five yellow cards).
GET
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Johan Mojica suspended
Mojica was handed a one-match ban for yellow-card accumulation.
GET

Preview

This Madrid derby has a clear pattern: the last five meetings produced five goals in total, and every one of them stayed under 2.5. Rayo are unbeaten in those five, with two wins and three draws. Getafe have been tight at the Coliseum, conceding 0.5 goals per home game this season, but they also score only one per game there. Getafe come off Thursday's 1-1 draw at Universitatea Craiova in the Conference League, and Enes Unal, Orel Mangala, Zaid Romero and Ivan Azon are all doubts. Christantus Uche and Juanmi remain out, while new signing Dani Carvajal is registered and available. Rayo are without right-back Andrei Ratiu, goalkeeper Augusto Batalla and Luiz Felipe, though Isi Palazon and Marash Kumbulla are back. Their last league game against Athletic was suspended after 24 minutes amid crowd protests. The 1X2 is close to a three-way split, so we look at goals instead: we rate under 2.5 at 66%.

Our verdict

A low-scoring derby with a five-game under trend in the head-to-head. Our pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.54, rated at 66%.

Head to head

2026-05-03Getafe 0–2 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
2026-01-02Rayo Vallecano 1–1 GetafeLa Liga
2025-05-02Rayo Vallecano 1–0 GetafeLa Liga
2024-08-24Getafe 0–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
2024-04-13Rayo Vallecano 0–0 GetafeLa Liga

FAQ

How many goals were scored in the last five Getafe vs Rayo meetings?

Five in total, and all five games finished under 2.5 goals, including two 0-0 draws.

Who is missing for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Getafe are without Uche and Juanmi, with Unal, Mangala, Romero and Azon doubtful. Rayo miss Ratiu, Batalla and Luiz Felipe.

What is the SureTips pick for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.54. We rate it at 66%.

What is the best bet for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Our top pick is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.54, rated 66% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 34% for this match.

When does Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?

Mon 19 Oct, 19:00 UTC.