Win probability
87%Barcelona
9%Draw
4%Alaves
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Under 2.5 goals18%
Both teams score (GG)54%
Double chance 1X96%
Key factors
- ●Key defender out · BarcelonaBAR
Barcelona's defence is depleted: Espart, Eric Garcia and Christensen are listed unavailable and Kounde trained apart, leaving four fit senior defenders.
- ▼Rodri outBAR
Minor right hamstring injury confirmed by club tests; ruled out of the trip to Atletico, with the home game against Villarreal on 22 Nov his next possible return.
- ▲Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.BAR
Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.
- ▲Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.BAR
Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.
- ▼Rodri doubtfulBAR
Rodri was replaced with discomfort in the 3-0 win over Aston Villa; Flick said tests are due Thursday, ahead of Sunday at Atlético Madrid.
- ▼Flick said Yamal needed fewer minutes and took him off for the last 20 minutes after his brace against Alavés. He is managing the winger's workload.BAR
Flick said Yamal needed fewer minutes and took him off for the last 20 minutes after his brace against Alavés. He is managing the winger's workload.
- ▼Sánchez Flores said his XI at Camp Nou would have been the same even if the postponed cup tie had gone ahead, and that striker Toni Martínez improves daily.ALA
Sánchez Flores said his XI at Camp Nou would have been the same even if the postponed cup tie had gone ahead, and that striker Toni Martínez improves daily.
Preview
Barcelona score freely at home and concede too. They average 3.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home league game, and they lead La Liga on 27 points after nine wins in ten. The problem is at the back. Xavi Espart is out for around seven weeks with a right-ankle injury from the Clásico, Eric Garcia and Christensen are unavailable, and Kounde was still training apart on Wednesday. Flick has four fit senior defenders: Cancelo, Balde, Cubarsi and Gerard Martin. Olmo is also out. Alaves sit seventh on 12 points but have not won in five league games (DLLDL), and they score just 0.75 a game away from home. They are without Facundo Garces and Mikel Rodriguez, and their midweek Copa tie was called off, so they arrive rested. Barcelona have won four of the last five meetings. The home win is too short to back at 1.13, so we look at goals. With Barcelona's back line this thin, we rate over 3.5 goals at 62%.
Barcelona should win, but at 1.13 the price is too short. A patched-up defence against a side that needs to attack makes over 3.5 goals our pick at 62%, a value price at 1.68.
Head to head
- 2026-05-13Alaves 1–0 BarcelonaLa Liga
- 2025-11-29Barcelona 3–1 AlavesLa Liga
- 2025-02-02Barcelona 1–0 AlavesLa Liga
- 2024-10-06Alaves 0–3 BarcelonaLa Liga
- 2024-02-03Alaves 1–3 BarcelonaLa Liga
FAQ
Which Barcelona defenders are out?
Xavi Espart, Eric Garcia and Christensen are unavailable, and Kounde is a doubt with an ankle sprain.
Why not back Barcelona to win?
We rate the win at about 87%, but odds of 1.13 are below our 1.30 minimum.
Did Alaves play in midweek?
No. Their Copa del Rey tie at Anaitasuna was suspended, so they come in rested.
What is the best bet for Barcelona vs Alaves?
Our top pick is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.68, rated 62% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 82% for this match.
When does Barcelona vs Alaves kick off?
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UTC.