Win probability
54%Alaves
26%Draw
20%Malaga
La Liga · Spain
Markets
Over 2.5 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score (GG)36%
Double chance 1X80%
Key factors
- ▲Joaquín Muñoz and Pablo Martínez are both integrated in group training before Racing, while Juan Cruz, Ochoa and Lobete stay outside it and Puga is on load management.MAL
Joaquín Muñoz and Pablo Martínez are both integrated in group training before Racing, while Juan Cruz, Ochoa and Lobete stay outside it and Puga is on load management.
- ▼Player outMAL
Bottom side Málaga (five points, no league win) are without injured midfielder Pablo Martínez and forwards Joaquín Muñoz and Juan Cruz.
- ▼Sánchez Flores said his XI at Camp Nou would have been the same even if the postponed cup tie had gone ahead, and that striker Toni Martínez improves daily.ALA
Sánchez Flores said his XI at Camp Nou would have been the same even if the postponed cup tie had gone ahead, and that striker Toni Martínez improves daily.
- ▲Murillo took part in some of the group session after the Alavés draw, while Pablo Martínez, Joaquín, Juan Cruz, Aaron Ochoa and Lobete were still training apart.MAL
Murillo took part in some of the group session after the Alavés draw, while Pablo Martínez, Joaquín, Juan Cruz, Aaron Ochoa and Lobete were still training apart.
- ▼Juan Cruz outMAL
Juan Cruz suffered a relapse of his biceps femoris problem and was ruled out of the trip to Alavés.
- ▼Facundo Garcés outALA
Facundo Garcés remains out with a serious knee injury, Alavés' known absentee alongside Mikel Rodríguez.
Preview
Alavés welcome bottom side Málaga to Mendizorroza on Friday. The visitors are 20th with four points from nine games and still looking for a first win, with four draws and five defeats. Goals on the road have been almost non-existent, about a quarter of a goal per away game. Aarón Ochoa and Lobete are on their injury list. Alavés are 7th on 11 points, but the table flatters their current run: one draw and four defeats in their last five, the latest a 2-1 loss at Celta Vigo. Ville Koski is back in the side after his quad injury, and Garcés is listed as suspended. Alavés have won four of the last five meetings, though the most recent top-flight one was in 2018. The market rates the home win at 54%, just below our 55% bar for a main pick, and Alavés' slump gives us no reason to push it higher. We publish the preview and market view without a pick.
Málaga are winless and blunt away from home, but Alavés are in a poor run too. The home win sits just under our threshold, so no main pick.
Head to head
- 2023-05-20Alaves 2–1 MalagaSegunda División
- 2022-12-18Malaga 1–0 AlavesSegunda División
- 2018-05-06Malaga 0–3 AlavesLa Liga
- 2017-12-21Alaves 1–0 MalagaLa Liga
- 2017-03-11Malaga 1–2 AlavesLa Liga
FAQ
Have Málaga won a game this season?
Not yet in the league: four draws and five defeats from nine matches.
Who is the favourite in Alavés vs Málaga?
Alavés, rated at about 54% by the market.
What is the best bet for Alaves vs Malaga?
The market favourite is Alaves to win at odds of 1.73, rated 57% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 47% for this match.
When does Alaves vs Malaga kick off?
Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 UTC.