SureTips.ai
Champions League · Europe
Full time1–1
Sure pickOver 2.5 goals
Odds1.52How over/under goals works →

Win probability

30%VfB Stuttgart
27%Draw
43%Atletico Madrid

Markets

Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Under 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score (GG)66%
Double chance X270%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Starter out · Atletico Madrid

    Centre-back Cristian 'Cuti' Romero has a low-grade adductor injury from the win at Espanyol and misses the trip to Stuttgart.

    ATM
  • ▼
    Starter out · Atletico Madrid

    Captain Koke is left out of the travelling squad for Stuttgart; he already missed the Espanyol game.

    ATM
  • ▼
    Starter out · VfB Stuttgart

    Left-back Maximilian Mittelstadt, who had appeared in every competitive game this season, needed stitches in his heel at Paderborn and was ruled out for now; still listed doubtful, so counted at half weight.

    STU
  • ▼
    Karazor doubtful

    Karazor went off injured in the Champions League and may have to be replaced, which would give youngster Yanik Spalt a first start.

    STU
  • ▼
    Atakan Karazor doubtful

    Karazor took a blow in the 0-2 at Galatasaray; Hoeneß said bleeding is visible and they must wait. With Stiller also out, 19-year-old Yanik Spalt could start against Werder.

    STU
  • ▼
    Cuti Romero out

    Centre-back Cuti Romero's muscle problem rules him out against Barcelona after he also missed Levante and Bayern; he drops out of Argentina's squad and should be back after the break.

    ATM
  • ▼
    Stiller out

    Stiller listed absent (adductor injury) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.

    STU
  • ▼
    Sauer out

    Sauer listed absent (gluteal injury) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.

    STU

Preview

Stuttgart have been perfect in Europe and frustrating at home in the league. Two Champions League wins have brought six goals for and one against, but Saturday's 1-0 defeat at Hamburg, decided by an 88th-minute strike, left them on six points from six Bundesliga games. Sportschau counted 23 shots without a goal in Hamburg. Deniz Undav admitted the team tend to fade after half-time. Atletico won 1-0 at Espanyol on Saturday but travel without two names. Centre-back Cuti Romero has an adductor strain and stayed in Madrid, and captain Koke is also missing; Johnny Cardoso returns after illness. For Stuttgart, left-back Maximilian Mittelstadt is still a doubt after the heel cut he suffered at Paderborn. The result looks open. Stuttgart create plenty of chances, Atletico's back line is changed, and both sides have scored freely in this competition. The market rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and we see no sourced reason to move it. That is the highest-rated outcome on the board.

Our verdict

Atletico are favourites but without Romero and Koke, and Stuttgart create chances every week. Our pick is over 2.5 goals, rated at 63% at 1.52.

FAQ

Who is missing for Atletico Madrid at Stuttgart?

Cuti Romero (adductor) and captain Koke are not in the squad. Johnny Cardoso is back.

Is Mittelstadt fit for Stuttgart?

He is listed as doubtful after needing stitches in his right heel at Paderborn.

What is our pick for Stuttgart vs Atletico?

Over 2.5 goals, rated at 63% at odds of 1.52.

What is the best bet for VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?

Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.52, rated 63% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 63% for this match.

When does VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid kick off?

Tue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC.