Win probability
18%RB Leipzig
20%Draw
62%Manchester City
Champions League · Europe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals28%
Both teams score (GG)47%
Double chance X282%
Key factors
- ●Open game expected · Both teamsBoth
Open pattern that repeats: four of the last five meetings went over 2.5 goals and Leipzig scored in all three home meetings with City. Both sides have shipped four in a European game this season (Leipzig twice, City v PSG).
- ▼Guiu outLEI
Guiu is out with a muscle injury.
- ▲Baumgartner could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI.LEI
Baumgartner could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI.
- ▲Nkunku could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI against Augsburg.LEI
Nkunku could make a league starting comeback and is in the predicted XI against Augsburg.
- ▼Baumgartner made his first start since his long injury in the 2-3 loss to Man City, while Nkunku came off the bench and set up a goal; both are tipped to start against Augsburg.LEI
Baumgartner made his first start since his long injury in the 2-3 loss to Man City, while Nkunku came off the bench and set up a goal; both are tipped to start against Augsburg.
- ▼After Donnarumma's near-post error in the 3-2 win at Leipzig, Maresca backed him fully, called his form no concern and said he is not thinking of changing his goalkeeper.MCI
After Donnarumma's near-post error in the 3-2 win at Leipzig, Maresca backed him fully, called his form no concern and said he is not thinking of changing his goalkeeper.
- ▼Semenyo outMCI
Semenyo listed as out (knee) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
Preview
Martín Demichelis faces the club he once played for when RB Leipzig host Manchester City on Wednesday. Leipzig arrive on a three-game winning run, capped by a 2-0 win at Schalke, but have only three points in the league phase after 4-1 defeats at Como and Real Madrid. City are tenth on six points, yet they have lost back-to-back Premier League games to Aston Villa and Brighton. Team news is light. Leipzig are without Assan Ouédraogo (shoulder) and Marc Guiu, and centre-back Maxime Estève is a doubt. City miss Antoine Semenyo, while Erling Haaland, who has 12 goals in eight games against Leipzig, is expected to lead the line. The market makes City clear favourites at about 62%. We see the better angle in goals. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, with 21 goals across those five games, and Leipzig scored in all three home meetings. Both teams have conceded four in a European game this season. The forecast in Leipzig is dry with light wind. We rate over 2.5 goals at 72%.
City are rightly favoured, but the stronger case is goals: this fixture has produced over 2.5 in four of the last five meetings. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Head to head
- 2023-11-28Manchester City 3–2 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
- 2023-10-04RB Leipzig 1–3 Manchester CityUEFA Champions League
- 2023-03-14Manchester City 7–0 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
- 2023-02-22RB Leipzig 1–1 Manchester CityUEFA Champions League
- 2021-12-07RB Leipzig 2–1 Manchester CityUEFA Champions League
FAQ
Who is missing for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
Leipzig are without Assan Ouédraogo (shoulder) and Marc Guiu, with Maxime Estève a doubt. City are without Antoine Semenyo.
What is the head-to-head record?
In the last five meetings City won three, Leipzig won one and one was drawn. Four of those five games had three or more goals.
What is the SureTips pick?
Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35. We rate it at 72%.
What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35, rated 72% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 72% for this match.
When does RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kick off?
Wed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC.