Win probability
40%Paris Saint Germain
23%Draw
37%Barcelona
Champions League · Europe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Under 2.5 goals18%
Both teams score (GG)82%
Double chance 1X63%
Key factors
- ▼Starter out · Paris Saint GermainPSG
Left-back Nuno Mendes hurt his left thigh at Strasbourg and PSG say he will be unavailable for the next few weeks, so he misses Barcelona.
- ▼Starter out · BarcelonaBAR
Jules Koundé sprained his ankle in the win at Betis and is ruled out of the PSG game.
- ●Key defender out · BarcelonaBAR
Barcelona lose both right-backs used this season (Koundé, Eric García); with Christensen also out, Cubarsí and Gerard Martín are the only available centre-backs.
- ▼Rodri outBAR
Minor right hamstring injury confirmed by club tests; ruled out of the trip to Atletico, with the home game against Villarreal on 22 Nov his next possible return.
- ▲Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.BAR
Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.
- ▲Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.BAR
Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.
- ▼Rodri doubtfulBAR
Rodri was replaced with discomfort in the 3-0 win over Aston Villa; Flick said tests are due Thursday, ahead of Sunday at Atlético Madrid.
- ▼Flick said Yamal needed fewer minutes and took him off for the last 20 minutes after his brace against Alavés. He is managing the winger's workload.BAR
Flick said Yamal needed fewer minutes and took him off for the last 20 minutes after his brace against Alavés. He is managing the winger's workload.
Preview
Two perfect starts meet at the Parc des Princes: both sides have won their first two league-phase games, PSG scoring 10 goals and Barcelona 9. The defensive news is the story. Barcelona lose both right-backs Hansi Flick has used this season, Jules Koundé (ankle sprain) and Eric García (thigh), after the 5-2 win at Betis. With Andreas Christensen already out, Pau Cubarsí and Gerard Martín are the only fit centre-backs. Captain Raphinha is back after returning from the bench in Seville. PSG are without left-back Nuno Mendes for several weeks after he hurt his thigh at Strasbourg, where Ousmane Dembélé came off the bench to score in a 3-1 comeback win. The last five meetings produced 20 goals, and four of them had three goals or more. The market sees the result as close to a coin flip, and so do we: PSG 40%, Barcelona 37%. Goals are the clearer angle. Two strong attacks against two patched-up back lines: we rate over 3.5 goals at 64%.
The result is too close to call, but both defences are short and this fixture has a history of goals. Over 3.5 goals is our sure pick at 64%.
Head to head
- 2025-10-01Barcelona 1–2 Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
- 2024-04-16Barcelona 1–4 Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
- 2024-04-10Paris Saint Germain 2–3 BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
- 2021-03-10Paris Saint Germain 1–1 BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
- 2021-02-16Barcelona 1–4 Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
FAQ
Who is missing for PSG vs Barcelona?
PSG are without left-back Nuno Mendes (thigh). Barcelona are without Jules Koundé, Eric García and Andreas Christensen, which leaves them short in defence.
What happened in the last PSG vs Barcelona meeting?
PSG won 2-1 in Barcelona on 1 October 2025. PSG have won three of the last five meetings, Barcelona one, with one draw.
What is the SureTips pick for PSG vs Barcelona?
Over 3.5 goals at 1.54. We rate it at 64%, with 20 goals scored across the last five meetings.
What is the best bet for Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona?
Our top pick is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.54, rated 64% confidence. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 82% for this match.
When does Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona kick off?
Tue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC.