Napoli

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Form & head-to-head · Napoli

  Napoli lost 1-0 at Venezia, who had lost their first six league games, and have lost 5 of their first 9 matches in all competitions. Capped at 1 pt early in the league phase.

  NAP
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  Fixture congestion · Bodo/Glimt

  Bodo/Glimt beat HamKam on Saturday and travelled straight to Italy; Naples is their third game in six days and away from home.

  BOD
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  Olivera doubtful

  Olivera has a muscle complaint; Sky's preview has him sidelined for Lazio, while its injury list calls him doubtful.

  NAP
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  Hojlund is back up front for the Lazio game.

  Hojlund is back up front for the Lazio game.

  NAP
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  Marianucci suspended

  Marianucci serves a one-match ban and misses Lazio.

  NAP
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  Di Lorenzo doubtful

  The captain's adductor problem from the Juventus game leaves him doubtful for the Lazio match on Sunday.

  NAP
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  Luca Marianucci suspended

  Marianucci is banned for one game and misses Lazio, thinning a defence already short of bodies.

  NAP
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  Before the Porto trip Allegri said only 13 players were training, too few even for a rondo, but refused to use absences as an excuse and said he would see who was fit.

  Before the Porto trip Allegri said only 13 players were training, too few even for a rondo, but refused to use absences as an excuse and said he would see who was fit.

  NAP

Preview

Napoli are under pressure. They lost their first two league-phase games, 1-0 at home to Arsenal and 3-1 at Villarreal, and on Saturday they fell 1-0 at Venezia, who had lost all six league games before that. Kevin De Bruyne had a penalty saved. Allegri is also without David Neres, out for about three weeks with a thigh strain, plus Alessandro Buongiorno and Antonio Vergara. Bodo/Glimt beat HamKam 2-0 on Saturday and flew straight to Italy, so this is their third game in six days. Ole Didrik Blomberg was stepped on twice against HamKam and Kjetil Knutsen only hoped he would be fit. Glimt beat Dortmund 1-0 at home but lost 5-0 in Munich. The fixture list and the poor form roughly cancel out, and we rate Napoli's win near 60%, a fair price at 1.67. Goals are the stronger angle: the market rates over 2.5 at 65%, and we take it at 1.47.