SureTips.ai
Champions League · Europe
Full time3–2
Sure pickUnder 3.5 goals
Odds1.70How over/under goals works →

Win probability

40%Manchester United
27%Draw
32%AS Roma

Markets

Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Under 2.5 goals39%
Both teams score (GG)52%
Double chance 1X67%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Backup goalkeeper · AS Roma

    First-choice keeper Mile Svilar is out with a toe fracture until after the international break, so Gollini starts. Known since 10 October, so half weight.

    ROM
  • ▼
    Key player out · AS Roma

    Paulo Dybala missed Udinese with a minor calf strain and Gasperini called his recovery for this week difficult; a doubt, so half weight.

    ROM
  • ▼
    Starter out · AS Roma

    Midfielder Manu Koné is out with a muscle injury, aiming to return against Sassuolo on 7 November; known for over 14 days, so half weight.

    ROM
  • ▼
    Key player out · Manchester United

    First-choice striker Benjamin Sesko faces months out with a shin injury; known since early October, so half weight.

    MUN
  • ▼
    Starter out · Manchester United

    Patrick Dorgu is out with a hamstring injury until late November; known since early October, so half weight.

    MUN
  • ●
    Key attacker out · Manchester United

    United's first-choice striker Sesko is out for months; long-known, so half weight.

    MUN
  • ●
    Key attacker out · AS Roma

    Roma's key attacker Dybala is a doubt with a calf strain; half weight.

    ROM
  • ▼
    Gollini doubtful

    Gollini has a back problem; Gasperini could not say if he will play and it may be decided just before kickoff, with Vasquez in the predicted XI.

    ROM

Preview

Manchester United are nine games without a win and have scored just three goals in their last six, losing 2-0 at Chelsea on Saturday with Lisandro Martínez sent off. Michael Carrick says he will be in charge on Tuesday, but the pressure is real, and so is the injury list: striker Benjamin Sesko is out for months, Patrick Dorgu is missing until late November, and Amad Diallo is a doubt after going off at Chelsea. Roma are flying in Serie A, third after a 5-2 win at Udinese, with 21 goals in six games. They are hurting too, though. Keeper Mile Svilar is out with a toe fracture, so Gollini stays in goal, Manu Koné and Lorenzo Pellegrini are injured, and Gasperini says Paulo Dybala will struggle to be ready. United have three points from three games and Roma four, so both need a result. The injuries take something off both attacks, and United have barely been scoring. We rate this close, with United at 40% and Roma at 32%, and lean to the goal line: under 3.5 goals at 59%.

Our verdict

Both attacks are short of key men and United have scored three goals in six games. Under 3.5 goals at 59% is our pick.

Head to head

  • 2021-05-06AS Roma 3–2 Manchester UnitedUEFA Europa League
  • 2021-04-29Manchester United 6–2 AS RomaUEFA Europa League

FAQ

Is Benjamin Sesko playing?

No. He faces months out with a shin injury.

Who is in goal for Roma?

Gollini, with first-choice keeper Mile Svilar out with a toe fracture.

How is United's form?

Poor: nine games without a win, with three goals scored and 13 conceded across the last six.

What is the best bet for Manchester United vs AS Roma?

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.70, rated 59% confidence. No bet is ever sure.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

We put the chance of three or more goals at 61% for this match.

When does Manchester United vs AS Roma kick off?

Tue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC.