Fenerbahçe

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Fixture congestion · Liverpool

  Liverpool play their third match in eight days: Carabao Cup v Chelsea on 28 Oct, Arsenal on 1 Nov, then this away trip on 4 Nov (house rule 2).

  LIV
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  Key defender out · Fenerbahçe

  Fenerbahçe centre-backs Aké and Oosterwolde are listed as injured for this game and Oppong is a doubt after coming off against Göztepe, leaving Skriniar and Yiğit Efe Demir as the only natural centre-backs.

  FEN
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  Ryan Gravenberch doubtful

  Gravenberch has a heel fracture he has played through; he missed Fenerbahce, has not improved since Arsenal, and Iraola called his Palace chances a day-to-day call.

  LIV
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  Victor Munoz out

  Listed out with a knock in the 1 Nov Arsenal preview.

  LIV
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  Oppong doubtful

  Oppong listed as doubtful (reason not given) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  FEN
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  Asensio out

  Asensio listed as out (knee) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  FEN
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  Aké out

  Aké listed as out (hamstring) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  FEN
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  Leoni out

  Leoni listed as out (knee) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  LIV

Preview

Liverpool arrive in Istanbul with three wins from three in the Champions League, while Fenerbahçe have two points and no win from their three games. The hosts are in a rough patch. Ismail Kartal resigned last week, and interim coach Dirk Kuyt, a Liverpool forward from 2006 to 2012, began with a 2-1 home loss to Göztepe. Their back line is the big worry. Nathan Aké and Jayden Oosterwolde are injured, and Kojo Oppong is a doubt after coming off late against Göztepe, which leaves Kuyt short of natural centre-backs. Fenerbahçe have also leaked goals in Europe, losing 6-0 at Aston Villa and letting a two-goal lead slip in a 2-2 draw with Slavia Prague. Liverpool are not at full strength either. Jeremie Frimpong, Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni and Hugo Ekitike are out, and this is their third game in eight days after Sunday's 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal. Dominik Szoboszlai is back after coming off the bench in that game. The forecast in Kadıköy is mild with little rain. We rate over 2.5 goals at 68.8% and a Liverpool win at 60%.