FC Porto

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Key player out · PSV Eindhoven

  PSV's top scorer Guus Til (5 goals in 12 games) is a doubt after a heavy fall in the 2-1 defeat at ADO Den Haag; Bosz said he could not continue. Doubtful, so counted at half weight.

  PSV
• ●
  Key attacker out · PSV Eindhoven

  PSV again had no senior striker at ADO Den Haag and used midfielder Sven Mijnans as a stand-in centre-forward. The shortage is not new, so counted at half weight.

  PSV
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  Lammers out

  Lammers listed as out (muscular) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  PSV
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  Wanner out

  Wanner listed as out (foot) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  PSV
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  Ouaissa out

  Ouaissa listed as out (hamstring) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  PSV
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  Pietuszewski doubtful

  Pietuszewski listed as doubtful (thigh) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  POR
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  Sam Lammers out

  Lammers arrived at PSV already injured and is still not fit, Bosz said before the Willem II match.

  PSV
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  Pietuszewski, a starter against Gil Vicente, was left out of the squad for Estoril; Farioli gave no injury detail, and reports point to him being kept for the Champions League.

  Pietuszewski, a starter against Gil Vicente, was left out of the squad for Estoril; Farioli gave no injury detail, and reports point to him being kept for the Champions League.

  POR

Preview

Porto need points. Two Champions League games have brought two defeats, at home to Manchester City and away at Real Betis, and they sit on zero with six matches left. Tuesday at the Dragão is the obvious place to start. Farioli's injury list is short: only winger William Gomes and Vasco Sousa are ruled out, per Record. PSV arrive in worse shape. They lost 2-1 at ADO Den Haag on Saturday to a stoppage-time header after Sven Mijnans was sent off before half-time, and Mijnans had been playing as a stand-in striker because PSV have no fit senior centre-forward. Worse, top scorer Guus Til left that game after a heavy fall and is a doubt; Bosz said he could not see properly when he came off. PSV have one point from two European games. The market already makes Porto favourites; the doubts around Til and PSV's thin attack push us a little further. We rate the home win at 60%.