Barcelona

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Starter out · Barcelona

  Right-back Xavi Espart, a recent starter, is out with an ankle injury from the Clásico.

  BAR
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  Starter out · Barcelona

  Dani Olmo is out with an adductor injury and misses this game; known since 21 October, so half weight.

  BAR
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  Starter out · Barcelona

  First-choice right-back Jules Koundé was listed by Flick among the absent defenders after the Alavés game; his ankle injury dates from mid-October, so half weight.

  BAR
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  Starter out · Aston Villa

  Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Villa's stand-in left-back, is out with a hamstring injury; known since 20 October, so half weight.

  AST
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  Rodri out

  Minor right hamstring injury confirmed by club tests; ruled out of the trip to Atletico, with the home game against Villarreal on 22 Nov his next possible return.

  BAR
• ▲
  Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.

  Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.

  BAR
• ▲
  Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.

  Trained on 4 Nov ahead of the Atletico trip and is closing in on a return, easing the defensive injury problems.

  BAR
• ▼
  Rodri doubtful

  Rodri was replaced with discomfort in the 3-0 win over Aston Villa; Flick said tests are due Thursday, ahead of Sunday at Atlético Madrid.

  BAR

Preview

Aston Villa arrive second in the league phase with nine points from nine, while Barcelona sit eighth on six after a 4-2 defeat in Paris. Barça's attack is in full flow: they beat Alavés 6-1 on Saturday, with two goals each from Raphinha and Lamine Yamal, and have scored 21 goals in their last six games. The problem is at the back. Hansi Flick has only four fit senior defenders, with Jules Koundé, Xavi Espart and Eric García all missing, and Dani Olmo is also out. Barcelona have conceded 10 goals in those same six games. Villa have their own gaps, with Amadou Onana and Aaron Wan-Bissaka out, but Unai Emery's side scored 13 in their last six and put six past Fenerbahçe in this competition. The home win price is too short for us at 1.29, even with Barça rated at 74%. Goals are the better angle: with a stretched Barcelona defence and two in-form attacks, we rate over 3.5 goals at 62%.